CryptoSemeshCompass v1
XAUT/USDT Plan vs. actual
Every forecast is published at 12:00 UTC (8:00 AM ET) before the outcome and checked against the OKX daily close at 00:00 UTC. Live rows come first; below them is the backtest — the same formulas computed after the fact since Jan 01, 2025.
CryptoSemesh forecast
Average error—
Live record starts with the first issue. No backtest: there is no history of factor scores.
Technical analysis v1
Average error0.60%
No-change baseline0.59%
641 closed forecasts · backtest since Jan 2025
CryptoSemesh range (80%)
Close inside the range80%
Target80%
641 closed forecasts · backtest since Jan 2025
✓ Inside range✗ Outside rangeAwaiting close
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Live forecasts
published before the outcome · sealed with a hash · verifyNo live forecasts yet — the first issue goes out at 12:00 UTC (8:00 AM ET).
Forecasts vs. actual close
Daily close: forecasts vs. actual
Average error by methodmean |plan − actual| / actual, daily close
Close inside the rangeshare of days, by pair · dashed line = 80% target
Backtest
computed after the fact on real OKX prices · never published in advance · CryptoSemesh forecast has no backtest (no factor history)| Created, UTC | Day | Pair | Horizon | Close date, UTC | Method / source | Plan, USDT | Actual, USDT | Actual − plan, USDT | Error, % | Range low, USDT | Range high, USDT | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-26 12:00 | 26 | XAUT/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-10-03 | Technical analysis v1 | 4,247.17 | 4,142.20 | −104.97 | 2.53% | 4,065.61 | 4,428.73 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 25, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-25 12:00 | 25 | XAUT/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-10-02 | Technical analysis v1 | 4,274.03 | 4,143.10 | −130.93 | 3.16% | 4,089.97 | 4,458.10 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 24, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-24 12:00 | 24 | XAUT/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-10-01 | Technical analysis v1 | 4,257.89 | 4,183.90 | −73.99 | 1.77% | 4,071.42 | 4,444.36 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 23, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-23 12:00 | 23 | XAUT/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-09-30 | Technical analysis v1 | 4,316.83 | 4,159.80 | −157.03 | 3.77% | 4,134.24 | 4,499.42 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 22, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-22 12:00 | 22 | XAUT/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-09-29 | Technical analysis v1 | 4,327.76 | 4,185.10 | −142.66 | 3.41% | 4,147.64 | 4,507.88 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 21, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 12:00 | 21 | XAUT/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-09-28 | Technical analysis v1 | 4,356.15 | 4,132.90 | −223.25 | 5.40% | 4,173.97 | 4,538.33 | ✗ Outside |
| Sep 20, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 12:00 | 20 | XAUT/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-09-27 | Technical analysis v1 | 4,341.69 | 4,262.50 | −79.19 | 1.86% | 4,148.49 | 4,534.89 | ✓ Inside |