Not "up" or "down" — the range where XAUT will most likely close today, published before the US open and checked against the daily close. Tether Gold (XAUT) tracks one troy ounce of gold and trades 24/7 on crypto exchanges. Its daily ranges are far narrower than those of crypto assets, and it barely moves on weekends when the gold market is closed.
At 12:00 UTC we take the XAUT/USDT spot price on OKX and the 14-day Average True Range, scale it by the square root of the time left until the 00:00 UTC daily close, and apply a coefficient calibrated so the close lands inside the range 80% of the time. The forecast is posted to Telegram and sealed with a hash before the outcome. Full methodology · every XAUT forecast vs. actual.
Each day at 12:00 UTC (8:00 AM ET) we publish the range where XAUT is likely to close.
In the backtest since January 2025 the XAUT close landed inside the range on 511 of 641 days (80%). Live results are tracked separately and every day is listed on the track record page.
At 12:00 UTC (8:00 AM ET). It is scored at the OKX daily close at 00:00 UTC (8:00 PM ET).
No. Direction is no better than a coin flip in our tests, so we forecast how far the price is likely to move instead.