CryptoSemeshCompass v1
BTC/USDT Plan vs. actual
Every forecast is published at 12:00 UTC (8:00 AM ET) before the outcome and checked against the OKX daily close at 00:00 UTC. Live rows come first; below them is the backtest — the same formulas computed after the fact since Jan 01, 2025.
CryptoSemesh forecast
Average error—
Live record starts with the first issue. No backtest: there is no history of factor scores.
Technical analysis v1
Average error1.26%
No-change baseline1.24%
641 closed forecasts · backtest since Jan 2025
CryptoSemesh range (80%)
Close inside the range79%
Target80%
641 closed forecasts · backtest since Jan 2025
✓ Inside range✗ Outside rangeAwaiting close
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Live forecasts
published before the outcome · sealed with a hash · verifyNo live forecasts yet — the first issue goes out at 12:00 UTC (8:00 AM ET).
Forecasts vs. actual close
Daily close: forecasts vs. actual
Average error by methodmean |plan − actual| / actual, daily close
Close inside the rangeshare of days, by pair · dashed line = 80% target
Backtest
computed after the fact on real OKX prices · never published in advance · CryptoSemesh forecast has no backtest (no factor history)| Created, UTC | Day | Pair | Horizon | Close date, UTC | Method / source | Plan, USDT | Actual, USDT | Actual − plan, USDT | Error, % | Range low, USDT | Range high, USDT | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-26 12:00 | 26 | BTC/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-10-03 | Technical analysis v1 | 88,329 | 84,755 | −3,574.24 | 4.22% | 81,538 | 95,120 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 25, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-25 12:00 | 25 | BTC/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-10-02 | Technical analysis v1 | 88,715 | 84,519 | −4,195.69 | 4.96% | 81,840 | 95,589 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 24, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-24 12:00 | 24 | BTC/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-10-01 | Technical analysis v1 | 87,563 | 84,877 | −2,685.41 | 3.16% | 80,596 | 94,530 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 23, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-23 12:00 | 23 | BTC/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-09-30 | Technical analysis v1 | 89,608 | 83,618 | −5,989.53 | 7.16% | 82,902 | 96,314 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 22, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-22 12:00 | 22 | BTC/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-09-29 | Technical analysis v1 | 88,812 | 83,658 | −5,154.28 | 6.16% | 81,931 | 95,693 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 21, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 12:00 | 21 | BTC/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-09-28 | Technical analysis v1 | 86,356 | 83,500 | −2,856.01 | 3.42% | 80,324 | 92,388 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 20, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 12:00 | 20 | BTC/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-09-27 | Technical analysis v1 | 81,235 | 84,479 | +3,243.84 | 3.84% | 75,027 | 87,443 | ✓ Inside |