CryptoSemeshCompass v1
Daily crypto close forecasts — and how wrong they were
Price forecasts powered by technical analysis and macroeconomic factors. Every day before the US open we publish three forecasts for the daily close of BTC, ETH, SOL and gold (XAUT). Every night we record the actual close and the error. The full plan-vs-actual record is public, and misses are never deleted.
Forecast published
· 8:00 AM ET
Scored at the daily close
· 8:00 PM ET
Price source
OKX spot, daily candle (UTC)
The same close every trader sees
CryptoSemesh forecastTechnical base adjusted for the dollar, US yields, Fed expectations and ETF flows. Experimental.
Technical analysis v1EMA20 trend projected to the close, range ±ATR·√h.
CryptoSemesh range (80%)Calibrated range around the current price: the close lands inside 8 days out of 10.
Today's forecasts
Free with a login during the launch periodThe first live issue is published at 12:00 UTC (8:00 AM ET). Below is the latest backtest day for reference.
| Created, UTC | Day | Pair | Horizon | Close date, UTC | Method / source | Plan, USDT | Actual, USDT | Actual − plan, USDT | Error, % | Range low, USDT | Range high, USDT | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 03, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-10-03 12:00 | 03 | BTC/USDT | Day | 2026-10-03 | Technical analysis v1 | 84,782 | 84,755 | −26.84 | 0.03% | 83,130 | 86,434 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-10-03 12:00 | 03 | BTC/USDT | Day | 2026-10-03 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 84,676 | 84,755 | +78.70 | 0.09% | 83,338 | 86,014 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-10-03 12:00 | 03 | ETH/USDT | Day | 2026-10-03 | Technical analysis v1 | 2,688.10 | 2,687.39 | −0.71 | 0.03% | 2,622.85 | 2,753.36 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-10-03 12:00 | 03 | ETH/USDT | Day | 2026-10-03 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 2,684.62 | 2,687.39 | +2.77 | 0.10% | 2,631.76 | 2,737.48 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-10-03 12:00 | 03 | SOL/USDT | Day | 2026-10-03 | Technical analysis v1 | 119.61 | 119.63 | +0.02 | 0.02% | 115.89 | 123.33 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-10-03 12:00 | 03 | SOL/USDT | Day | 2026-10-03 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 119.32 | 119.63 | +0.31 | 0.26% | 116.30 | 122.34 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-10-03 12:00 | 03 | XAUT/USDT | Day | 2026-10-03 | Technical analysis v1 | 4,135.80 | 4,142.20 | +6.40 | 0.15% | 4,089.25 | 4,182.34 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-10-03 12:00 | 03 | XAUT/USDT | Day | 2026-10-03 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 4,142.50 | 4,142.20 | −0.30 | 0.01% | 4,104.80 | 4,180.20 | ✓ Inside |
Forecasts vs. actual close
Daily close: forecasts vs. actual
Average error by methodmean |plan − actual| / actual, daily close
Close inside the rangeshare of days, by pair · dashed line = 80% target
Reports in your messenger
Telegram or WhatsApp — your choiceLog in with Telegram or WhatsApp and the reports come to the messenger you pick. Switch between them, or turn any message off, in your account.
- Morning forecast report — every day at about 12:00 UTC (8:00 AM ET): CryptoSemesh forecast, Technical analysis v1 and the 80% range for BTC, ETH, SOL and XAUT.
- Breakout alerts — when the price leaves today's 80% range, at most once per pair and side a day.
- Account notices — when your free trial or subscription is about to end. No ads, no trading calls.
The public Telegram channel announces each issue with its hash and posts the evening results.
Your CryptoSemesh forecasts for Oct 05, 2026
For the daily close 00:00 UTC · OKX spot
• BTC/USDT 86,534 · CryptoSemesh 86,980 · TA v1 86,710 · 80% range 85,125 – 87,711
• ETH/USDT 2,750.71 · CryptoSemesh 2,768.40 · TA v1 2,744.12 · 80% range 2,687.37 – 2,814.04
• SOL/USDT …
• XAUT/USDT …
Full table: cryptosemesh.com/history
For the daily close 00:00 UTC · OKX spot
• BTC/USDT 86,534 · CryptoSemesh 86,980 · TA v1 86,710 · 80% range 85,125 – 87,711
• ETH/USDT 2,750.71 · CryptoSemesh 2,768.40 · TA v1 2,744.12 · 80% range 2,687.37 – 2,814.04
• SOL/USDT …
• XAUT/USDT …
Full table: cryptosemesh.com/history
Sample message · numbers for illustration
How it works
12:00 UTC · 8:00 AM ET
Forecasts are locked
Three methods per pair, for today's close and the close in 7 days. Sealed with a hash, announced in the Telegram channel and sent to your Telegram or WhatsApp. Visible after a free login.
00:00 UTC · 8:00 PM ET
The day closes
We take the close of the OKX daily candle (UTC) — the same close every trader sees on their chart.
Right after
Plan vs. actual
Actual minus plan, error in %, inside or outside the range. Download the CSV and check it yourself.