CryptoSemeshCompass v1
XAUT/USDT Plan vs. actual
Every forecast is published at 12:00 UTC (8:00 AM ET) before the outcome and checked against the OKX daily close at 00:00 UTC. Live rows come first; below them is the backtest — the same formulas computed after the fact since Jan 01, 2025.
CryptoSemesh forecast
Average error—
Live record starts with the first issue. No backtest: there is no history of factor scores.
Technical analysis v1
Average error0.60%
No-change baseline0.59%
641 closed forecasts · backtest since Jan 2025
CryptoSemesh range (80%)
Close inside the range80%
Target80%
641 closed forecasts · backtest since Jan 2025
✓ Inside range✗ Outside rangeAwaiting close
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Live forecasts
published before the outcome · sealed with a hash · verifyNo live forecasts yet — the first issue goes out at 12:00 UTC (8:00 AM ET).
Forecasts vs. actual close
Daily close: forecasts vs. actual
Average error by methodmean |plan − actual| / actual, daily close
Close inside the rangeshare of days, by pair · dashed line = 80% target
Backtest
computed after the fact on real OKX prices · never published in advance · CryptoSemesh forecast has no backtest (no factor history)| Created, UTC | Day | Pair | Horizon | Close date, UTC | Method / source | Plan, USDT | Actual, USDT | Actual − plan, USDT | Error, % | Range low, USDT | Range high, USDT | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-26 12:00 | 26 | XAUT/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-10-03 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 4,282.00 | 4,142.20 | −139.80 | 3.38% | 4,131.31 | 4,432.69 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 25, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-25 12:00 | 25 | XAUT/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-10-02 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 4,299.00 | 4,143.10 | −155.90 | 3.76% | 4,146.23 | 4,451.77 | ✗ Outside |
| Sep 24, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-24 12:00 | 24 | XAUT/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-10-01 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 4,267.50 | 4,183.90 | −83.60 | 2.00% | 4,112.73 | 4,422.27 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 23, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-23 12:00 | 23 | XAUT/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-09-30 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 4,314.00 | 4,159.80 | −154.20 | 3.71% | 4,162.45 | 4,465.55 | ✗ Outside |
| Sep 22, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-22 12:00 | 22 | XAUT/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-09-29 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 4,326.70 | 4,185.10 | −141.60 | 3.38% | 4,177.20 | 4,476.20 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 21, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 12:00 | 21 | XAUT/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-09-28 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 4,369.60 | 4,132.90 | −236.70 | 5.73% | 4,218.39 | 4,520.81 | ✗ Outside |
| Sep 20, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 12:00 | 20 | XAUT/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-09-27 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 4,370.70 | 4,262.50 | −108.20 | 2.54% | 4,210.34 | 4,531.06 | ✓ Inside |