CryptoSemeshCompass v1
ETH/USDT Plan vs. actual
Every forecast is published at 12:00 UTC (8:00 AM ET) before the outcome and checked against the OKX daily close at 00:00 UTC. Live rows come first; below them is the backtest — the same formulas computed after the fact since Jan 01, 2025.
CryptoSemesh forecast
Average error—
Live record starts with the first issue. No backtest: there is no history of factor scores.
Technical analysis v1
Average error1.98%
No-change baseline1.95%
641 closed forecasts · backtest since Jan 2025
CryptoSemesh range (80%)
Close inside the range78%
Target80%
641 closed forecasts · backtest since Jan 2025
✓ Inside range✗ Outside rangeAwaiting close
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Live forecasts
published before the outcome · sealed with a hash · verifyNo live forecasts yet — the first issue goes out at 12:00 UTC (8:00 AM ET).
Forecasts vs. actual close
Daily close: forecasts vs. actual
Average error by methodmean |plan − actual| / actual, daily close
Close inside the rangeshare of days, by pair · dashed line = 80% target
Backtest
computed after the fact on real OKX prices · never published in advance · CryptoSemesh forecast has no backtest (no factor history)| Created, UTC | Day | Pair | Horizon | Close date, UTC | Method / source | Plan, USDT | Actual, USDT | Actual − plan, USDT | Error, % | Range low, USDT | Range high, USDT | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-26 12:00 | 26 | ETH/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-10-03 | Technical analysis v1 | 2,824.47 | 2,687.39 | −137.08 | 5.10% | 2,545.06 | 3,103.88 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 25, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-25 12:00 | 25 | ETH/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-10-02 | Technical analysis v1 | 2,859.28 | 2,668.71 | −190.57 | 7.14% | 2,574.25 | 3,144.31 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 24, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-24 12:00 | 24 | ETH/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-10-01 | Technical analysis v1 | 2,795.55 | 2,706.22 | −89.33 | 3.30% | 2,504.98 | 3,086.11 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 23, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-23 12:00 | 23 | ETH/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-09-30 | Technical analysis v1 | 2,880.24 | 2,685.75 | −194.49 | 7.24% | 2,599.66 | 3,160.83 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 22, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-22 12:00 | 22 | ETH/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-09-29 | Technical analysis v1 | 2,862.03 | 2,678.31 | −183.72 | 6.86% | 2,572.95 | 3,151.12 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 21, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 12:00 | 21 | ETH/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-09-28 | Technical analysis v1 | 2,801.34 | 2,688.90 | −112.44 | 4.18% | 2,524.50 | 3,078.18 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 20, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 12:00 | 20 | ETH/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-09-27 | Technical analysis v1 | 2,624.05 | 2,688.79 | +64.74 | 2.41% | 2,343.99 | 2,904.10 | ✓ Inside |