XAUT/USDT Plan vs. actual

Every forecast is published at 12:00 UTC (8:00 AM ET) before the outcome and checked against the OKX daily close at 00:00 UTC. Live rows come first; below them is the backtest — the same formulas computed after the fact since Jan 01, 2025.

CryptoSemesh forecast

Average error—

Live record starts with the first issue. No backtest: there is no history of factor scores.

Technical analysis v1

Average error0.60%

No-change baseline0.59%

641 closed forecasts · backtest since Jan 2025

CryptoSemesh range (80%)

Close inside the range80%

Target80%

641 closed forecasts · backtest since Jan 2025

Pair Horizon Method

✓ Inside range✗ Outside rangeAwaiting close Download CSV

Live forecasts

published before the outcome · sealed with a hash · verify

No live forecasts yet — the first issue goes out at 12:00 UTC (8:00 AM ET).

Forecasts vs. actual close

Daily close: forecasts vs. actual

Average error by methodmean |plan − actual| / actual, daily close

Close inside the rangeshare of days, by pair · dashed line = 80% target

Backtest

computed after the fact on real OKX prices · never published in advance · CryptoSemesh forecast has no backtest (no factor history)

No backtest rows.