CryptoSemeshCompass v1
Plan vs. actual
Every forecast is published at 12:00 UTC (8:00 AM ET) before the outcome and checked against the OKX daily close at 00:00 UTC. Live rows come first; below them is the backtest — the same formulas computed after the fact since Jan 01, 2025.
CryptoSemesh forecast
Average error—
Live record starts with the first issue. No backtest: there is no history of factor scores.
Technical analysis v1
Average error1.54%
No-change baseline1.52%
2564 closed forecasts · backtest since Jan 2025
CryptoSemesh range (80%)
Close inside the range79%
Target80%
2564 closed forecasts · backtest since Jan 2025
✓ Inside range✗ Outside rangeAwaiting close
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Live forecasts
published before the outcome · sealed with a hash · verifyNo live forecasts yet — the first issue goes out at 12:00 UTC (8:00 AM ET).
Forecasts vs. actual close
Daily close: forecasts vs. actual
Average error by methodmean |plan − actual| / actual, daily close
Close inside the rangeshare of days, by pair · dashed line = 80% target
Backtest
computed after the fact on real OKX prices · never published in advance · CryptoSemesh forecast has no backtest (no factor history)| Created, UTC | Day | Pair | Horizon | Close date, UTC | Method / source | Plan, USDT | Actual, USDT | Actual − plan, USDT | Error, % | Range low, USDT | Range high, USDT | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-26 12:00 | 26 | BTC/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-10-03 | Technical analysis v1 | 88,329 | 84,755 | −3,574.24 | 4.22% | 81,538 | 95,120 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-26 12:00 | 26 | ETH/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-10-03 | Technical analysis v1 | 2,824.47 | 2,687.39 | −137.08 | 5.10% | 2,545.06 | 3,103.88 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-26 12:00 | 26 | SOL/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-10-03 | Technical analysis v1 | 130.57 | 119.63 | −10.94 | 9.14% | 115.52 | 145.61 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-26 12:00 | 26 | XAUT/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-10-03 | Technical analysis v1 | 4,247.17 | 4,142.20 | −104.97 | 2.53% | 4,065.61 | 4,428.73 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 25, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-25 12:00 | 25 | BTC/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-10-02 | Technical analysis v1 | 88,715 | 84,519 | −4,195.69 | 4.96% | 81,840 | 95,589 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-25 12:00 | 25 | ETH/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-10-02 | Technical analysis v1 | 2,859.28 | 2,668.71 | −190.57 | 7.14% | 2,574.25 | 3,144.31 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-25 12:00 | 25 | SOL/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-10-02 | Technical analysis v1 | 129.34 | 118.64 | −10.70 | 9.02% | 114.64 | 144.05 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-25 12:00 | 25 | XAUT/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-10-02 | Technical analysis v1 | 4,274.03 | 4,143.10 | −130.93 | 3.16% | 4,089.97 | 4,458.10 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 24, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-24 12:00 | 24 | BTC/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-10-01 | Technical analysis v1 | 87,563 | 84,877 | −2,685.41 | 3.16% | 80,596 | 94,530 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-24 12:00 | 24 | ETH/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-10-01 | Technical analysis v1 | 2,795.55 | 2,706.22 | −89.33 | 3.30% | 2,504.98 | 3,086.11 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-24 12:00 | 24 | SOL/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-10-01 | Technical analysis v1 | 121.79 | 118.40 | −3.39 | 2.87% | 107.06 | 136.52 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-24 12:00 | 24 | XAUT/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-10-01 | Technical analysis v1 | 4,257.89 | 4,183.90 | −73.99 | 1.77% | 4,071.42 | 4,444.36 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 23, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-23 12:00 | 23 | BTC/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-09-30 | Technical analysis v1 | 89,608 | 83,618 | −5,989.53 | 7.16% | 82,902 | 96,314 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-23 12:00 | 23 | ETH/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-09-30 | Technical analysis v1 | 2,880.24 | 2,685.75 | −194.49 | 7.24% | 2,599.66 | 3,160.83 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-23 12:00 | 23 | SOL/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-09-30 | Technical analysis v1 | 126.07 | 118.13 | −7.94 | 6.72% | 111.63 | 140.52 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-23 12:00 | 23 | XAUT/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-09-30 | Technical analysis v1 | 4,316.83 | 4,159.80 | −157.03 | 3.77% | 4,134.24 | 4,499.42 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 22, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-22 12:00 | 22 | BTC/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-09-29 | Technical analysis v1 | 88,812 | 83,658 | −5,154.28 | 6.16% | 81,931 | 95,693 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-22 12:00 | 22 | ETH/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-09-29 | Technical analysis v1 | 2,862.03 | 2,678.31 | −183.72 | 6.86% | 2,572.95 | 3,151.12 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-22 12:00 | 22 | SOL/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-09-29 | Technical analysis v1 | 124.58 | 119.14 | −5.44 | 4.57% | 109.86 | 139.31 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-22 12:00 | 22 | XAUT/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-09-29 | Technical analysis v1 | 4,327.76 | 4,185.10 | −142.66 | 3.41% | 4,147.64 | 4,507.88 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 21, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 12:00 | 21 | BTC/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-09-28 | Technical analysis v1 | 86,356 | 83,500 | −2,856.01 | 3.42% | 80,324 | 92,388 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-21 12:00 | 21 | ETH/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-09-28 | Technical analysis v1 | 2,801.34 | 2,688.90 | −112.44 | 4.18% | 2,524.50 | 3,078.18 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-21 12:00 | 21 | SOL/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-09-28 | Technical analysis v1 | 121.61 | 118.89 | −2.72 | 2.29% | 107.70 | 135.52 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-21 12:00 | 21 | XAUT/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-09-28 | Technical analysis v1 | 4,356.15 | 4,132.90 | −223.25 | 5.40% | 4,173.97 | 4,538.33 | ✗ Outside |
| Sep 20, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 12:00 | 20 | BTC/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-09-27 | Technical analysis v1 | 81,235 | 84,479 | +3,243.84 | 3.84% | 75,027 | 87,443 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-20 12:00 | 20 | ETH/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-09-27 | Technical analysis v1 | 2,624.05 | 2,688.79 | +64.74 | 2.41% | 2,343.99 | 2,904.10 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-20 12:00 | 20 | SOL/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-09-27 | Technical analysis v1 | 111.55 | 121.99 | +10.44 | 8.56% | 97.44 | 125.67 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-20 12:00 | 20 | XAUT/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-09-27 | Technical analysis v1 | 4,341.69 | 4,262.50 | −79.19 | 1.86% | 4,148.49 | 4,534.89 | ✓ Inside |