Not "up" or "down" — the range where ETH will most likely close today, published before the US open and checked against the daily close. Ethereum usually moves a bit more than Bitcoin in percentage terms and tends to follow it on high-volatility days.
At 12:00 UTC we take the ETH/USDT spot price on OKX and the 14-day Average True Range, scale it by the square root of the time left until the 00:00 UTC daily close, and apply a coefficient calibrated so the close lands inside the range 80% of the time. The forecast is posted to Telegram and sealed with a hash before the outcome. Full methodology · every ETH forecast vs. actual.
Each day at 12:00 UTC (8:00 AM ET) we publish the range where ETH is likely to close.
In the backtest since January 2025 the ETH close landed inside the range on 502 of 641 days (78%). Live results are tracked separately and every day is listed on the track record page.
At 12:00 UTC (8:00 AM ET). It is scored at the OKX daily close at 00:00 UTC (8:00 PM ET).
No. Direction is no better than a coin flip in our tests, so we forecast how far the price is likely to move instead.