CryptoSemeshCompass v1
XAUT/USDT Plan vs. actual
Every forecast is published at 12:00 UTC (8:00 AM ET) before the outcome and checked against the OKX daily close at 00:00 UTC. Live rows come first; below them is the backtest — the same formulas computed after the fact since Jan 01, 2025.
CryptoSemesh forecast
Average error—
Live record starts with the first issue. No backtest: there is no history of factor scores.
Technical analysis v1
Average error0.60%
No-change baseline0.59%
641 closed forecasts · backtest since Jan 2025
CryptoSemesh range (80%)
Close inside the range80%
Target80%
641 closed forecasts · backtest since Jan 2025
✓ Inside range✗ Outside rangeAwaiting close
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Live forecasts
published before the outcome · sealed with a hash · verifyNo live forecasts yet — the first issue goes out at 12:00 UTC (8:00 AM ET).
Forecasts vs. actual close
Daily close: forecasts vs. actual
Average error by methodmean |plan − actual| / actual, daily close
Close inside the rangeshare of days, by pair · dashed line = 80% target
Backtest
computed after the fact on real OKX prices · never published in advance · CryptoSemesh forecast has no backtest (no factor history)| Created, UTC | Day | Pair | Horizon | Close date, UTC | Method / source | Plan, USDT | Actual, USDT | Actual − plan, USDT | Error, % | Range low, USDT | Range high, USDT | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 03, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-10-03 12:00 | 03 | XAUT/USDT | Day | 2026-10-03 | Technical analysis v1 | 4,135.80 | 4,142.20 | +6.40 | 0.15% | 4,089.25 | 4,182.34 | ✓ Inside |
| Oct 02, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-10-02 12:00 | 02 | XAUT/USDT | Day | 2026-10-02 | Technical analysis v1 | 4,175.25 | 4,143.10 | −32.15 | 0.78% | 4,129.99 | 4,220.50 | ✓ Inside |
| Oct 01, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-10-01 12:00 | 01 | XAUT/USDT | Day | 2026-10-01 | Technical analysis v1 | 4,176.33 | 4,183.90 | +7.57 | 0.18% | 4,130.15 | 4,222.51 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 30, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-30 12:00 | 30 | XAUT/USDT | Day | 2026-09-30 | Technical analysis v1 | 4,182.16 | 4,159.80 | −22.36 | 0.54% | 4,135.85 | 4,228.48 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 29, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-29 12:00 | 29 | XAUT/USDT | Day | 2026-09-29 | Technical analysis v1 | 4,153.34 | 4,185.10 | +31.76 | 0.76% | 4,107.07 | 4,199.62 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 28, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-28 12:00 | 28 | XAUT/USDT | Day | 2026-09-28 | Technical analysis v1 | 4,150.70 | 4,132.90 | −17.80 | 0.43% | 4,108.76 | 4,192.65 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 27, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-27 12:00 | 27 | XAUT/USDT | Day | 2026-09-27 | Technical analysis v1 | 4,277.47 | 4,262.50 | −14.97 | 0.35% | 4,233.51 | 4,321.42 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 26, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-26 12:00 | 26 | XAUT/USDT | Day | 2026-09-26 | Technical analysis v1 | 4,279.68 | 4,281.70 | +2.02 | 0.05% | 4,232.80 | 4,326.56 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 25, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-25 12:00 | 25 | XAUT/USDT | Day | 2026-09-25 | Technical analysis v1 | 4,297.34 | 4,287.30 | −10.04 | 0.23% | 4,249.81 | 4,344.86 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 24, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-24 12:00 | 24 | XAUT/USDT | Day | 2026-09-24 | Technical analysis v1 | 4,266.86 | 4,261.80 | −5.06 | 0.12% | 4,218.71 | 4,315.01 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 23, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-23 12:00 | 23 | XAUT/USDT | Day | 2026-09-23 | Technical analysis v1 | 4,314.19 | 4,290.90 | −23.29 | 0.54% | 4,267.04 | 4,361.33 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 22, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-22 12:00 | 22 | XAUT/USDT | Day | 2026-09-22 | Technical analysis v1 | 4,326.77 | 4,361.50 | +34.73 | 0.80% | 4,280.26 | 4,373.28 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 21, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 12:00 | 21 | XAUT/USDT | Day | 2026-09-21 | Technical analysis v1 | 4,368.70 | 4,369.00 | +0.30 | 0.01% | 4,321.67 | 4,415.74 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 20, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 12:00 | 20 | XAUT/USDT | Day | 2026-09-20 | Technical analysis v1 | 4,368.77 | 4,373.00 | +4.23 | 0.10% | 4,318.88 | 4,418.65 | ✓ Inside |