CryptoSemeshCompass v1
BTC/USDT Plan vs. actual
Every forecast is published at 12:00 UTC (8:00 AM ET) before the outcome and checked against the OKX daily close at 00:00 UTC. Live rows come first; below them is the backtest — the same formulas computed after the fact since Jan 01, 2025.
CryptoSemesh forecast
Average error—
Live record starts with the first issue. No backtest: there is no history of factor scores.
Technical analysis v1
Average error1.26%
No-change baseline1.24%
641 closed forecasts · backtest since Jan 2025
CryptoSemesh range (80%)
Close inside the range79%
Target80%
641 closed forecasts · backtest since Jan 2025
✓ Inside range✗ Outside rangeAwaiting close
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Live forecasts
published before the outcome · sealed with a hash · verifyNo live forecasts yet — the first issue goes out at 12:00 UTC (8:00 AM ET).
Forecasts vs. actual close
Daily close: forecasts vs. actual
Average error by methodmean |plan − actual| / actual, daily close
Close inside the rangeshare of days, by pair · dashed line = 80% target
Backtest
computed after the fact on real OKX prices · never published in advance · CryptoSemesh forecast has no backtest (no factor history)| Created, UTC | Day | Pair | Horizon | Close date, UTC | Method / source | Plan, USDT | Actual, USDT | Actual − plan, USDT | Error, % | Range low, USDT | Range high, USDT | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 03, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-10-03 12:00 | 03 | BTC/USDT | Day | 2026-10-03 | Technical analysis v1 | 84,782 | 84,755 | −26.84 | 0.03% | 83,130 | 86,434 | ✓ Inside |
| Oct 02, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-10-02 12:00 | 02 | BTC/USDT | Day | 2026-10-02 | Technical analysis v1 | 86,534 | 84,519 | −2,015.43 | 2.38% | 84,938 | 88,131 | ✗ Outside |
| Oct 01, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-10-01 12:00 | 01 | BTC/USDT | Day | 2026-10-01 | Technical analysis v1 | 84,038 | 84,877 | +839.64 | 0.99% | 82,432 | 85,643 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 30, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-30 12:00 | 30 | BTC/USDT | Day | 2026-09-30 | Technical analysis v1 | 84,057 | 83,618 | −438.35 | 0.52% | 82,474 | 85,639 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 29, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-29 12:00 | 29 | BTC/USDT | Day | 2026-09-29 | Technical analysis v1 | 84,515 | 83,658 | −857.91 | 1.03% | 82,908 | 86,123 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 28, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-28 12:00 | 28 | BTC/USDT | Day | 2026-09-28 | Technical analysis v1 | 83,279 | 83,500 | +220.77 | 0.26% | 81,681 | 84,878 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 27, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-27 12:00 | 27 | BTC/USDT | Day | 2026-09-27 | Technical analysis v1 | 85,123 | 84,479 | −643.61 | 0.76% | 83,460 | 86,785 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 26, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-26 12:00 | 26 | BTC/USDT | Day | 2026-09-26 | Technical analysis v1 | 84,449 | 84,440 | −9.15 | 0.01% | 82,696 | 86,202 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 25, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-25 12:00 | 25 | BTC/USDT | Day | 2026-09-25 | Technical analysis v1 | 84,856 | 84,099 | −757.29 | 0.90% | 83,081 | 86,631 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 24, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-24 12:00 | 24 | BTC/USDT | Day | 2026-09-24 | Technical analysis v1 | 83,762 | 84,410 | +648.09 | 0.77% | 81,963 | 85,561 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 23, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-23 12:00 | 23 | BTC/USDT | Day | 2026-09-23 | Technical analysis v1 | 85,922 | 84,400 | −1,522.48 | 1.80% | 84,190 | 87,654 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 22, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-22 12:00 | 22 | BTC/USDT | Day | 2026-09-22 | Technical analysis v1 | 86,181 | 86,209 | +28.55 | 0.03% | 84,404 | 87,957 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 21, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 12:00 | 21 | BTC/USDT | Day | 2026-09-21 | Technical analysis v1 | 84,983 | 86,618 | +1,634.82 | 1.89% | 83,426 | 86,540 | ✗ Outside |
| Sep 20, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 12:00 | 20 | BTC/USDT | Day | 2026-09-20 | Technical analysis v1 | 80,534 | 81,180 | +645.90 | 0.80% | 78,931 | 82,137 | ✓ Inside |