CryptoSemeshCompass v1
Plan vs. actual
Every forecast is published at 12:00 UTC (8:00 AM ET) before the outcome and checked against the OKX daily close at 00:00 UTC. Live rows come first; below them is the backtest — the same formulas computed after the fact since Jan 01, 2025.
CryptoSemesh forecast
Average error—
Live record starts with the first issue. No backtest: there is no history of factor scores.
Technical analysis v1
Average error1.54%
No-change baseline1.52%
2564 closed forecasts · backtest since Jan 2025
CryptoSemesh range (80%)
Close inside the range79%
Target80%
2564 closed forecasts · backtest since Jan 2025
✓ Inside range✗ Outside rangeAwaiting close
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Live forecasts
published before the outcome · sealed with a hash · verifyNo live forecasts yet — the first issue goes out at 12:00 UTC (8:00 AM ET).
Forecasts vs. actual close
Daily close: forecasts vs. actual
Average error by methodmean |plan − actual| / actual, daily close
Close inside the rangeshare of days, by pair · dashed line = 80% target
Backtest
computed after the fact on real OKX prices · never published in advance · CryptoSemesh forecast has no backtest (no factor history)| Created, UTC | Day | Pair | Horizon | Close date, UTC | Method / source | Plan, USDT | Actual, USDT | Actual − plan, USDT | Error, % | Range low, USDT | Range high, USDT | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 03, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-10-03 12:00 | 03 | BTC/USDT | Day | 2026-10-03 | Technical analysis v1 | 84,782 | 84,755 | −26.84 | 0.03% | 83,130 | 86,434 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-10-03 12:00 | 03 | ETH/USDT | Day | 2026-10-03 | Technical analysis v1 | 2,688.10 | 2,687.39 | −0.71 | 0.03% | 2,622.85 | 2,753.36 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-10-03 12:00 | 03 | SOL/USDT | Day | 2026-10-03 | Technical analysis v1 | 119.61 | 119.63 | +0.02 | 0.02% | 115.89 | 123.33 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-10-03 12:00 | 03 | XAUT/USDT | Day | 2026-10-03 | Technical analysis v1 | 4,135.80 | 4,142.20 | +6.40 | 0.15% | 4,089.25 | 4,182.34 | ✓ Inside |
| Oct 02, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-10-02 12:00 | 02 | BTC/USDT | Day | 2026-10-02 | Technical analysis v1 | 86,534 | 84,519 | −2,015.43 | 2.38% | 84,938 | 88,131 | ✗ Outside |
| 2026-10-02 12:00 | 02 | ETH/USDT | Day | 2026-10-02 | Technical analysis v1 | 2,750.71 | 2,668.71 | −82.00 | 3.07% | 2,687.37 | 2,814.04 | ✗ Outside |
| 2026-10-02 12:00 | 02 | SOL/USDT | Day | 2026-10-02 | Technical analysis v1 | 122.18 | 118.64 | −3.54 | 2.98% | 118.53 | 125.82 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-10-02 12:00 | 02 | XAUT/USDT | Day | 2026-10-02 | Technical analysis v1 | 4,175.25 | 4,143.10 | −32.15 | 0.78% | 4,129.99 | 4,220.50 | ✓ Inside |
| Oct 01, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-10-01 12:00 | 01 | BTC/USDT | Day | 2026-10-01 | Technical analysis v1 | 84,038 | 84,877 | +839.64 | 0.99% | 82,432 | 85,643 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-10-01 12:00 | 01 | ETH/USDT | Day | 2026-10-01 | Technical analysis v1 | 2,711.07 | 2,706.22 | −4.85 | 0.18% | 2,645.51 | 2,776.62 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-10-01 12:00 | 01 | SOL/USDT | Day | 2026-10-01 | Technical analysis v1 | 118.38 | 118.40 | +0.02 | 0.01% | 114.62 | 122.15 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-10-01 12:00 | 01 | XAUT/USDT | Day | 2026-10-01 | Technical analysis v1 | 4,176.33 | 4,183.90 | +7.57 | 0.18% | 4,130.15 | 4,222.51 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 30, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-30 12:00 | 30 | BTC/USDT | Day | 2026-09-30 | Technical analysis v1 | 84,057 | 83,618 | −438.35 | 0.52% | 82,474 | 85,639 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-30 12:00 | 30 | ETH/USDT | Day | 2026-09-30 | Technical analysis v1 | 2,702.42 | 2,685.75 | −16.67 | 0.62% | 2,636.23 | 2,768.62 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-30 12:00 | 30 | SOL/USDT | Day | 2026-09-30 | Technical analysis v1 | 120.02 | 118.13 | −1.89 | 1.60% | 116.28 | 123.76 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-30 12:00 | 30 | XAUT/USDT | Day | 2026-09-30 | Technical analysis v1 | 4,182.16 | 4,159.80 | −22.36 | 0.54% | 4,135.85 | 4,228.48 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 29, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-29 12:00 | 29 | BTC/USDT | Day | 2026-09-29 | Technical analysis v1 | 84,515 | 83,658 | −857.91 | 1.03% | 82,908 | 86,123 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-29 12:00 | 29 | ETH/USDT | Day | 2026-09-29 | Technical analysis v1 | 2,737.80 | 2,678.31 | −59.49 | 2.22% | 2,671.76 | 2,803.84 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-29 12:00 | 29 | SOL/USDT | Day | 2026-09-29 | Technical analysis v1 | 120.70 | 119.14 | −1.56 | 1.31% | 116.96 | 124.44 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-29 12:00 | 29 | XAUT/USDT | Day | 2026-09-29 | Technical analysis v1 | 4,153.34 | 4,185.10 | +31.76 | 0.76% | 4,107.07 | 4,199.62 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 28, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-28 12:00 | 28 | BTC/USDT | Day | 2026-09-28 | Technical analysis v1 | 83,279 | 83,500 | +220.77 | 0.26% | 81,681 | 84,878 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-28 12:00 | 28 | ETH/USDT | Day | 2026-09-28 | Technical analysis v1 | 2,675.05 | 2,688.90 | +13.85 | 0.52% | 2,608.56 | 2,741.54 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-28 12:00 | 28 | SOL/USDT | Day | 2026-09-28 | Technical analysis v1 | 119.30 | 118.89 | −0.41 | 0.34% | 115.58 | 123.02 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-28 12:00 | 28 | XAUT/USDT | Day | 2026-09-28 | Technical analysis v1 | 4,150.70 | 4,132.90 | −17.80 | 0.43% | 4,108.76 | 4,192.65 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 27, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-27 12:00 | 27 | BTC/USDT | Day | 2026-09-27 | Technical analysis v1 | 85,123 | 84,479 | −643.61 | 0.76% | 83,460 | 86,785 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-27 12:00 | 27 | ETH/USDT | Day | 2026-09-27 | Technical analysis v1 | 2,716.88 | 2,688.79 | −28.09 | 1.04% | 2,648.21 | 2,785.56 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-27 12:00 | 27 | SOL/USDT | Day | 2026-09-27 | Technical analysis v1 | 124.51 | 121.99 | −2.52 | 2.07% | 120.77 | 128.25 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-27 12:00 | 27 | XAUT/USDT | Day | 2026-09-27 | Technical analysis v1 | 4,277.47 | 4,262.50 | −14.97 | 0.35% | 4,233.51 | 4,321.42 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 26, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-26 12:00 | 26 | BTC/USDT | Day | 2026-09-26 | Technical analysis v1 | 84,449 | 84,440 | −9.15 | 0.01% | 82,696 | 86,202 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-26 12:00 | 26 | BTC/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-10-03 | Technical analysis v1 | 88,329 | 84,755 | −3,574.24 | 4.22% | 81,538 | 95,120 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-26 12:00 | 26 | ETH/USDT | Day | 2026-09-26 | Technical analysis v1 | 2,698.44 | 2,696.15 | −2.29 | 0.09% | 2,626.30 | 2,770.59 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-26 12:00 | 26 | ETH/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-10-03 | Technical analysis v1 | 2,824.47 | 2,687.39 | −137.08 | 5.10% | 2,545.06 | 3,103.88 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-26 12:00 | 26 | SOL/USDT | Day | 2026-09-26 | Technical analysis v1 | 121.93 | 121.41 | −0.52 | 0.43% | 118.04 | 125.81 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-26 12:00 | 26 | SOL/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-10-03 | Technical analysis v1 | 130.57 | 119.63 | −10.94 | 9.14% | 115.52 | 145.61 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-26 12:00 | 26 | XAUT/USDT | Day | 2026-09-26 | Technical analysis v1 | 4,279.68 | 4,281.70 | +2.02 | 0.05% | 4,232.80 | 4,326.56 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-26 12:00 | 26 | XAUT/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-10-03 | Technical analysis v1 | 4,247.17 | 4,142.20 | −104.97 | 2.53% | 4,065.61 | 4,428.73 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 25, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-25 12:00 | 25 | BTC/USDT | Day | 2026-09-25 | Technical analysis v1 | 84,856 | 84,099 | −757.29 | 0.90% | 83,081 | 86,631 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-25 12:00 | 25 | BTC/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-10-02 | Technical analysis v1 | 88,715 | 84,519 | −4,195.69 | 4.96% | 81,840 | 95,589 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-25 12:00 | 25 | ETH/USDT | Day | 2026-09-25 | Technical analysis v1 | 2,726.91 | 2,691.82 | −35.09 | 1.30% | 2,653.31 | 2,800.50 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-25 12:00 | 25 | ETH/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-10-02 | Technical analysis v1 | 2,859.28 | 2,668.71 | −190.57 | 7.14% | 2,574.25 | 3,144.31 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-25 12:00 | 25 | SOL/USDT | Day | 2026-09-25 | Technical analysis v1 | 121.42 | 122.16 | +0.74 | 0.61% | 117.62 | 125.21 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-25 12:00 | 25 | SOL/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-10-02 | Technical analysis v1 | 129.34 | 118.64 | −10.70 | 9.02% | 114.64 | 144.05 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-25 12:00 | 25 | XAUT/USDT | Day | 2026-09-25 | Technical analysis v1 | 4,297.34 | 4,287.30 | −10.04 | 0.23% | 4,249.81 | 4,344.86 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-25 12:00 | 25 | XAUT/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-10-02 | Technical analysis v1 | 4,274.03 | 4,143.10 | −130.93 | 3.16% | 4,089.97 | 4,458.10 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 24, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-24 12:00 | 24 | BTC/USDT | Day | 2026-09-24 | Technical analysis v1 | 83,762 | 84,410 | +648.09 | 0.77% | 81,963 | 85,561 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-24 12:00 | 24 | BTC/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-10-01 | Technical analysis v1 | 87,563 | 84,877 | −2,685.41 | 3.16% | 80,596 | 94,530 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-24 12:00 | 24 | ETH/USDT | Day | 2026-09-24 | Technical analysis v1 | 2,657.37 | 2,687.96 | +30.59 | 1.14% | 2,582.35 | 2,732.39 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-24 12:00 | 24 | ETH/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-10-01 | Technical analysis v1 | 2,795.55 | 2,706.22 | −89.33 | 3.30% | 2,504.98 | 3,086.11 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-24 12:00 | 24 | SOL/USDT | Day | 2026-09-24 | Technical analysis v1 | 113.91 | 117.05 | +3.14 | 2.68% | 110.11 | 117.72 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-24 12:00 | 24 | SOL/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-10-01 | Technical analysis v1 | 121.79 | 118.40 | −3.39 | 2.87% | 107.06 | 136.52 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-24 12:00 | 24 | XAUT/USDT | Day | 2026-09-24 | Technical analysis v1 | 4,266.86 | 4,261.80 | −5.06 | 0.12% | 4,218.71 | 4,315.01 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-24 12:00 | 24 | XAUT/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-10-01 | Technical analysis v1 | 4,257.89 | 4,183.90 | −73.99 | 1.77% | 4,071.42 | 4,444.36 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 23, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-23 12:00 | 23 | BTC/USDT | Day | 2026-09-23 | Technical analysis v1 | 85,922 | 84,400 | −1,522.48 | 1.80% | 84,190 | 87,654 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-23 12:00 | 23 | BTC/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-09-30 | Technical analysis v1 | 89,608 | 83,618 | −5,989.53 | 7.16% | 82,902 | 96,314 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-23 12:00 | 23 | ETH/USDT | Day | 2026-09-23 | Technical analysis v1 | 2,738.26 | 2,684.83 | −53.43 | 1.99% | 2,665.81 | 2,810.71 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-23 12:00 | 23 | ETH/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-09-30 | Technical analysis v1 | 2,880.24 | 2,685.75 | −194.49 | 7.24% | 2,599.66 | 3,160.83 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-23 12:00 | 23 | SOL/USDT | Day | 2026-09-23 | Technical analysis v1 | 117.70 | 115.01 | −2.69 | 2.34% | 113.97 | 121.43 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-23 12:00 | 23 | SOL/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-09-30 | Technical analysis v1 | 126.07 | 118.13 | −7.94 | 6.72% | 111.63 | 140.52 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-23 12:00 | 23 | XAUT/USDT | Day | 2026-09-23 | Technical analysis v1 | 4,314.19 | 4,290.90 | −23.29 | 0.54% | 4,267.04 | 4,361.33 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-23 12:00 | 23 | XAUT/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-09-30 | Technical analysis v1 | 4,316.83 | 4,159.80 | −157.03 | 3.77% | 4,134.24 | 4,499.42 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 22, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-22 12:00 | 22 | BTC/USDT | Day | 2026-09-22 | Technical analysis v1 | 86,181 | 86,209 | +28.55 | 0.03% | 84,404 | 87,957 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-22 12:00 | 22 | BTC/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-09-29 | Technical analysis v1 | 88,812 | 83,658 | −5,154.28 | 6.16% | 81,931 | 95,693 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-22 12:00 | 22 | ETH/USDT | Day | 2026-09-22 | Technical analysis v1 | 2,750.23 | 2,753.82 | +3.59 | 0.13% | 2,675.58 | 2,824.87 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-22 12:00 | 22 | ETH/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-09-29 | Technical analysis v1 | 2,862.03 | 2,678.31 | −183.72 | 6.86% | 2,572.95 | 3,151.12 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-22 12:00 | 22 | SOL/USDT | Day | 2026-09-22 | Technical analysis v1 | 117.82 | 118.55 | +0.73 | 0.61% | 114.02 | 121.63 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-22 12:00 | 22 | SOL/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-09-29 | Technical analysis v1 | 124.58 | 119.14 | −5.44 | 4.57% | 109.86 | 139.31 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-22 12:00 | 22 | XAUT/USDT | Day | 2026-09-22 | Technical analysis v1 | 4,326.77 | 4,361.50 | +34.73 | 0.80% | 4,280.26 | 4,373.28 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-22 12:00 | 22 | XAUT/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-09-29 | Technical analysis v1 | 4,327.76 | 4,185.10 | −142.66 | 3.41% | 4,147.64 | 4,507.88 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 21, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 12:00 | 21 | BTC/USDT | Day | 2026-09-21 | Technical analysis v1 | 84,983 | 86,618 | +1,634.82 | 1.89% | 83,426 | 86,540 | ✗ Outside |
| 2026-09-21 12:00 | 21 | BTC/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-09-28 | Technical analysis v1 | 86,356 | 83,500 | −2,856.01 | 3.42% | 80,324 | 92,388 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-21 12:00 | 21 | ETH/USDT | Day | 2026-09-21 | Technical analysis v1 | 2,730.47 | 2,776.13 | +45.66 | 1.64% | 2,658.99 | 2,801.95 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-21 12:00 | 21 | ETH/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-09-28 | Technical analysis v1 | 2,801.34 | 2,688.90 | −112.44 | 4.18% | 2,524.50 | 3,078.18 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-21 12:00 | 21 | SOL/USDT | Day | 2026-09-21 | Technical analysis v1 | 117.12 | 118.91 | +1.79 | 1.50% | 113.53 | 120.71 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-21 12:00 | 21 | SOL/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-09-28 | Technical analysis v1 | 121.61 | 118.89 | −2.72 | 2.29% | 107.70 | 135.52 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-21 12:00 | 21 | XAUT/USDT | Day | 2026-09-21 | Technical analysis v1 | 4,368.70 | 4,369.00 | +0.30 | 0.01% | 4,321.67 | 4,415.74 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-21 12:00 | 21 | XAUT/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-09-28 | Technical analysis v1 | 4,356.15 | 4,132.90 | −223.25 | 5.40% | 4,173.97 | 4,538.33 | ✗ Outside |
| Sep 20, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 12:00 | 20 | BTC/USDT | Day | 2026-09-20 | Technical analysis v1 | 80,534 | 81,180 | +645.90 | 0.80% | 78,931 | 82,137 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-20 12:00 | 20 | BTC/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-09-27 | Technical analysis v1 | 81,235 | 84,479 | +3,243.84 | 3.84% | 75,027 | 87,443 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-20 12:00 | 20 | ETH/USDT | Day | 2026-09-20 | Technical analysis v1 | 2,582.09 | 2,644.88 | +62.79 | 2.37% | 2,509.78 | 2,654.40 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-20 12:00 | 20 | ETH/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-09-27 | Technical analysis v1 | 2,624.05 | 2,688.79 | +64.74 | 2.41% | 2,343.99 | 2,904.10 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-20 12:00 | 20 | SOL/USDT | Day | 2026-09-20 | Technical analysis v1 | 108.69 | 111.16 | +2.47 | 2.22% | 105.05 | 112.34 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-20 12:00 | 20 | SOL/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-09-27 | Technical analysis v1 | 111.55 | 121.99 | +10.44 | 8.56% | 97.44 | 125.67 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-20 12:00 | 20 | XAUT/USDT | Day | 2026-09-20 | Technical analysis v1 | 4,368.77 | 4,373.00 | +4.23 | 0.10% | 4,318.88 | 4,418.65 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-20 12:00 | 20 | XAUT/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-09-27 | Technical analysis v1 | 4,341.69 | 4,262.50 | −79.19 | 1.86% | 4,148.49 | 4,534.89 | ✓ Inside |