Plan vs. actual

Every forecast is published at 12:00 UTC (8:00 AM ET) before the outcome and checked against the OKX daily close at 00:00 UTC. Live rows come first; below them is the backtest — the same formulas computed after the fact since Jan 01, 2025.

CryptoSemesh forecast
Average error—
Live record starts with the first issue. No backtest: there is no history of factor scores.
Technical analysis v1
Average error1.54%
No-change baseline1.52%
2564 closed forecasts · backtest since Jan 2025
CryptoSemesh range (80%)
Close inside the range79%
Target80%
2564 closed forecasts · backtest since Jan 2025
Pair Horizon Method
✓ Inside range✗ Outside rangeAwaiting close Download CSV

Live forecasts

published before the outcome · sealed with a hash · verify
No live forecasts yet — the first issue goes out at 12:00 UTC (8:00 AM ET).

Forecasts vs. actual close

Daily close: forecasts vs. actual
Average error by methodmean |plan − actual| / actual, daily close
Close inside the rangeshare of days, by pair · dashed line = 80% target

Backtest

computed after the fact on real OKX prices · never published in advance · CryptoSemesh forecast has no backtest (no factor history)
Created, UTCDayPairHorizon Close date, UTCMethod / source Plan, USDTActual, USDT Actual − plan, USDTError, % Range low, USDTRange high, USDT Status
Oct 03, 2026 · backtest
2026-10-03 12:00 03 BTC/USDT Day 2026-10-03 Technical analysis v1 84,782 84,755 −26.84 0.03% 83,130 86,434 ✓ Inside
2026-10-03 12:00 03 BTC/USDT Day 2026-10-03 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 84,676 84,755 +78.70 0.09% 83,338 86,014 ✓ Inside
2026-10-03 12:00 03 ETH/USDT Day 2026-10-03 Technical analysis v1 2,688.10 2,687.39 −0.71 0.03% 2,622.85 2,753.36 ✓ Inside
2026-10-03 12:00 03 ETH/USDT Day 2026-10-03 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 2,684.62 2,687.39 +2.77 0.10% 2,631.76 2,737.48 ✓ Inside
2026-10-03 12:00 03 SOL/USDT Day 2026-10-03 Technical analysis v1 119.61 119.63 +0.02 0.02% 115.89 123.33 ✓ Inside
2026-10-03 12:00 03 SOL/USDT Day 2026-10-03 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 119.32 119.63 +0.31 0.26% 116.30 122.34 ✓ Inside
2026-10-03 12:00 03 XAUT/USDT Day 2026-10-03 Technical analysis v1 4,135.80 4,142.20 +6.40 0.15% 4,089.25 4,182.34 ✓ Inside
2026-10-03 12:00 03 XAUT/USDT Day 2026-10-03 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 4,142.50 4,142.20 −0.30 0.01% 4,104.80 4,180.20 ✓ Inside
Oct 02, 2026 · backtest
2026-10-02 12:00 02 BTC/USDT Day 2026-10-02 Technical analysis v1 86,534 84,519 −2,015.43 2.38% 84,938 88,131 ✗ Outside
2026-10-02 12:00 02 BTC/USDT Day 2026-10-02 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 86,418 84,519 −1,899.20 2.25% 85,125 87,711 ✗ Outside
2026-10-02 12:00 02 ETH/USDT Day 2026-10-02 Technical analysis v1 2,750.71 2,668.71 −82.00 3.07% 2,687.37 2,814.04 ✗ Outside
2026-10-02 12:00 02 ETH/USDT Day 2026-10-02 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 2,746.65 2,668.71 −77.94 2.92% 2,695.35 2,797.95 ✗ Outside
2026-10-02 12:00 02 SOL/USDT Day 2026-10-02 Technical analysis v1 122.18 118.64 −3.54 2.98% 118.53 125.82 ✓ Inside
2026-10-02 12:00 02 SOL/USDT Day 2026-10-02 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 121.82 118.64 −3.18 2.68% 118.87 124.77 ✗ Outside
2026-10-02 12:00 02 XAUT/USDT Day 2026-10-02 Technical analysis v1 4,175.25 4,143.10 −32.15 0.78% 4,129.99 4,220.50 ✓ Inside
2026-10-02 12:00 02 XAUT/USDT Day 2026-10-02 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 4,181.40 4,143.10 −38.30 0.92% 4,144.74 4,218.06 ✗ Outside
Oct 01, 2026 · backtest
2026-10-01 12:00 01 BTC/USDT Day 2026-10-01 Technical analysis v1 84,038 84,877 +839.64 0.99% 82,432 85,643 ✓ Inside
2026-10-01 12:00 01 BTC/USDT Day 2026-10-01 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 83,914 84,877 +963.50 1.14% 82,613 85,214 ✓ Inside
2026-10-01 12:00 01 ETH/USDT Day 2026-10-01 Technical analysis v1 2,711.07 2,706.22 −4.85 0.18% 2,645.51 2,776.62 ✓ Inside
2026-10-01 12:00 01 ETH/USDT Day 2026-10-01 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 2,706.69 2,706.22 −0.47 0.02% 2,653.59 2,759.79 ✓ Inside
2026-10-01 12:00 01 SOL/USDT Day 2026-10-01 Technical analysis v1 118.38 118.40 +0.02 0.01% 114.62 122.15 ✓ Inside
2026-10-01 12:00 01 SOL/USDT Day 2026-10-01 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 117.96 118.40 +0.44 0.37% 114.91 121.01 ✓ Inside
2026-10-01 12:00 01 XAUT/USDT Day 2026-10-01 Technical analysis v1 4,176.33 4,183.90 +7.57 0.18% 4,130.15 4,222.51 ✓ Inside
2026-10-01 12:00 01 XAUT/USDT Day 2026-10-01 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 4,182.10 4,183.90 +1.80 0.04% 4,144.70 4,219.50 ✓ Inside
Sep 30, 2026 · backtest
2026-09-30 12:00 30 BTC/USDT Day 2026-09-30 Technical analysis v1 84,057 83,618 −438.35 0.52% 82,474 85,639 ✓ Inside
2026-09-30 12:00 30 BTC/USDT Day 2026-09-30 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 83,915 83,618 −296.40 0.35% 82,633 85,197 ✓ Inside
2026-09-30 12:00 30 ETH/USDT Day 2026-09-30 Technical analysis v1 2,702.42 2,685.75 −16.67 0.62% 2,636.23 2,768.62 ✓ Inside
2026-09-30 12:00 30 ETH/USDT Day 2026-09-30 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 2,697.52 2,685.75 −11.77 0.44% 2,643.90 2,751.14 ✓ Inside
2026-09-30 12:00 30 SOL/USDT Day 2026-09-30 Technical analysis v1 120.02 118.13 −1.89 1.60% 116.28 123.76 ✓ Inside
2026-09-30 12:00 30 SOL/USDT Day 2026-09-30 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 119.51 118.13 −1.38 1.17% 116.48 122.54 ✓ Inside
2026-09-30 12:00 30 XAUT/USDT Day 2026-09-30 Technical analysis v1 4,182.16 4,159.80 −22.36 0.54% 4,135.85 4,228.48 ✓ Inside
2026-09-30 12:00 30 XAUT/USDT Day 2026-09-30 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 4,187.20 4,159.80 −27.40 0.66% 4,149.69 4,224.71 ✓ Inside
Sep 29, 2026 · backtest
2026-09-29 12:00 29 BTC/USDT Day 2026-09-29 Technical analysis v1 84,515 83,658 −857.91 1.03% 82,908 86,123 ✓ Inside
2026-09-29 12:00 29 BTC/USDT Day 2026-09-29 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 84,351 83,658 −693.10 0.83% 83,048 85,653 ✓ Inside
2026-09-29 12:00 29 ETH/USDT Day 2026-09-29 Technical analysis v1 2,737.80 2,678.31 −59.49 2.22% 2,671.76 2,803.84 ✓ Inside
2026-09-29 12:00 29 ETH/USDT Day 2026-09-29 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 2,732.28 2,678.31 −53.97 2.02% 2,678.79 2,785.77 ✗ Outside
2026-09-29 12:00 29 SOL/USDT Day 2026-09-29 Technical analysis v1 120.70 119.14 −1.56 1.31% 116.96 124.44 ✓ Inside
2026-09-29 12:00 29 SOL/USDT Day 2026-09-29 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 120.16 119.14 −1.02 0.86% 117.13 123.19 ✓ Inside
2026-09-29 12:00 29 XAUT/USDT Day 2026-09-29 Technical analysis v1 4,153.34 4,185.10 +31.76 0.76% 4,107.07 4,199.62 ✓ Inside
2026-09-29 12:00 29 XAUT/USDT Day 2026-09-29 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 4,158.10 4,185.10 +27.00 0.65% 4,120.62 4,195.58 ✓ Inside
Sep 28, 2026 · backtest
2026-09-28 12:00 28 BTC/USDT Day 2026-09-28 Technical analysis v1 83,279 83,500 +220.77 0.26% 81,681 84,878 ✓ Inside
2026-09-28 12:00 28 BTC/USDT Day 2026-09-28 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 83,088 83,500 +412.40 0.49% 81,793 84,382 ✓ Inside
2026-09-28 12:00 28 ETH/USDT Day 2026-09-28 Technical analysis v1 2,675.05 2,688.90 +13.85 0.52% 2,608.56 2,741.54 ✓ Inside
2026-09-28 12:00 28 ETH/USDT Day 2026-09-28 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 2,668.99 2,688.90 +19.91 0.74% 2,615.13 2,722.85 ✓ Inside
2026-09-28 12:00 28 SOL/USDT Day 2026-09-28 Technical analysis v1 119.30 118.89 −0.41 0.34% 115.58 123.02 ✓ Inside
2026-09-28 12:00 28 SOL/USDT Day 2026-09-28 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 118.74 118.89 +0.15 0.13% 115.73 121.75 ✓ Inside
2026-09-28 12:00 28 XAUT/USDT Day 2026-09-28 Technical analysis v1 4,150.70 4,132.90 −17.80 0.43% 4,108.76 4,192.65 ✓ Inside
2026-09-28 12:00 28 XAUT/USDT Day 2026-09-28 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 4,154.30 4,132.90 −21.40 0.52% 4,120.32 4,188.28 ✓ Inside
Sep 27, 2026 · backtest
2026-09-27 12:00 27 BTC/USDT Day 2026-09-27 Technical analysis v1 85,123 84,479 −643.61 0.76% 83,460 86,785 ✓ Inside
2026-09-27 12:00 27 BTC/USDT Day 2026-09-27 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 84,893 84,479 −413.60 0.49% 83,546 86,240 ✓ Inside
2026-09-27 12:00 27 ETH/USDT Day 2026-09-27 Technical analysis v1 2,716.88 2,688.79 −28.09 1.04% 2,648.21 2,785.56 ✓ Inside
2026-09-27 12:00 27 ETH/USDT Day 2026-09-27 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 2,709.50 2,688.79 −20.71 0.77% 2,653.87 2,765.13 ✓ Inside
2026-09-27 12:00 27 SOL/USDT Day 2026-09-27 Technical analysis v1 124.51 121.99 −2.52 2.07% 120.77 128.25 ✓ Inside
2026-09-27 12:00 27 SOL/USDT Day 2026-09-27 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 123.93 121.99 −1.94 1.59% 120.90 126.96 ✓ Inside
2026-09-27 12:00 27 XAUT/USDT Day 2026-09-27 Technical analysis v1 4,277.47 4,262.50 −14.97 0.35% 4,233.51 4,321.42 ✓ Inside
2026-09-27 12:00 27 XAUT/USDT Day 2026-09-27 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 4,280.40 4,262.50 −17.90 0.42% 4,244.80 4,316.00 ✓ Inside
Sep 26, 2026 · backtest
2026-09-26 12:00 26 BTC/USDT Day 2026-09-26 Technical analysis v1 84,449 84,440 −9.15 0.01% 82,696 86,202 ✓ Inside
2026-09-26 12:00 26 BTC/USDT Day 2026-09-26 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 84,172 84,440 +268.00 0.32% 82,752 85,592 ✓ Inside
2026-09-26 12:00 26 ETH/USDT Day 2026-09-26 Technical analysis v1 2,698.44 2,696.15 −2.29 0.09% 2,626.30 2,770.59 ✓ Inside
2026-09-26 12:00 26 ETH/USDT Day 2026-09-26 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 2,689.44 2,696.15 +6.71 0.25% 2,631.00 2,747.88 ✓ Inside
2026-09-26 12:00 26 SOL/USDT Day 2026-09-26 Technical analysis v1 121.93 121.41 −0.52 0.43% 118.04 125.81 ✓ Inside
2026-09-26 12:00 26 SOL/USDT Day 2026-09-26 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 121.31 121.41 +0.10 0.08% 118.16 124.46 ✓ Inside
2026-09-26 12:00 26 XAUT/USDT Day 2026-09-26 Technical analysis v1 4,279.68 4,281.70 +2.02 0.05% 4,232.80 4,326.56 ✓ Inside
2026-09-26 12:00 26 XAUT/USDT Day 2026-09-26 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 4,282.00 4,281.70 −0.30 0.01% 4,244.03 4,319.97 ✓ Inside
Sep 25, 2026 · backtest
2026-09-25 12:00 25 BTC/USDT Day 2026-09-25 Technical analysis v1 84,856 84,099 −757.29 0.90% 83,081 86,631 ✓ Inside
2026-09-25 12:00 25 BTC/USDT Day 2026-09-25 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 84,581 84,099 −481.70 0.57% 83,143 86,018 ✓ Inside
2026-09-25 12:00 25 ETH/USDT Day 2026-09-25 Technical analysis v1 2,726.91 2,691.82 −35.09 1.30% 2,653.31 2,800.50 ✓ Inside
2026-09-25 12:00 25 ETH/USDT Day 2026-09-25 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 2,717.45 2,691.82 −25.63 0.95% 2,657.84 2,777.06 ✓ Inside
2026-09-25 12:00 25 SOL/USDT Day 2026-09-25 Technical analysis v1 121.42 122.16 +0.74 0.61% 117.62 125.21 ✓ Inside
2026-09-25 12:00 25 SOL/USDT Day 2026-09-25 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 120.85 122.16 +1.31 1.07% 117.77 123.93 ✓ Inside
2026-09-25 12:00 25 XAUT/USDT Day 2026-09-25 Technical analysis v1 4,297.34 4,287.30 −10.04 0.23% 4,249.81 4,344.86 ✓ Inside
2026-09-25 12:00 25 XAUT/USDT Day 2026-09-25 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 4,299.00 4,287.30 −11.70 0.27% 4,260.50 4,337.50 ✓ Inside
Sep 24, 2026 · backtest
2026-09-24 12:00 24 BTC/USDT Day 2026-09-24 Technical analysis v1 83,762 84,410 +648.09 0.77% 81,963 85,561 ✓ Inside
2026-09-24 12:00 24 BTC/USDT Day 2026-09-24 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 83,490 84,410 +919.60 1.09% 82,033 84,947 ✓ Inside
2026-09-24 12:00 24 ETH/USDT Day 2026-09-24 Technical analysis v1 2,657.37 2,687.96 +30.59 1.14% 2,582.35 2,732.39 ✓ Inside
2026-09-24 12:00 24 ETH/USDT Day 2026-09-24 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 2,647.50 2,687.96 +40.46 1.51% 2,586.73 2,708.27 ✓ Inside
2026-09-24 12:00 24 SOL/USDT Day 2026-09-24 Technical analysis v1 113.91 117.05 +3.14 2.68% 110.11 117.72 ✓ Inside
2026-09-24 12:00 24 SOL/USDT Day 2026-09-24 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 113.35 117.05 +3.70 3.16% 110.27 116.43 ✗ Outside
2026-09-24 12:00 24 XAUT/USDT Day 2026-09-24 Technical analysis v1 4,266.86 4,261.80 −5.06 0.12% 4,218.71 4,315.01 ✓ Inside
2026-09-24 12:00 24 XAUT/USDT Day 2026-09-24 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 4,267.50 4,261.80 −5.70 0.13% 4,228.50 4,306.50 ✓ Inside
Sep 23, 2026 · backtest
2026-09-23 12:00 23 BTC/USDT Day 2026-09-23 Technical analysis v1 85,922 84,400 −1,522.48 1.80% 84,190 87,654 ✓ Inside
2026-09-23 12:00 23 BTC/USDT Day 2026-09-23 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 85,659 84,400 −1,259.20 1.49% 84,256 87,061 ✓ Inside
2026-09-23 12:00 23 ETH/USDT Day 2026-09-23 Technical analysis v1 2,738.26 2,684.83 −53.43 1.99% 2,665.81 2,810.71 ✓ Inside
2026-09-23 12:00 23 ETH/USDT Day 2026-09-23 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 2,728.12 2,684.83 −43.29 1.61% 2,669.44 2,786.80 ✓ Inside
2026-09-23 12:00 23 SOL/USDT Day 2026-09-23 Technical analysis v1 117.70 115.01 −2.69 2.34% 113.97 121.43 ✓ Inside
2026-09-23 12:00 23 SOL/USDT Day 2026-09-23 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 117.10 115.01 −2.09 1.82% 114.08 120.12 ✓ Inside
2026-09-23 12:00 23 XAUT/USDT Day 2026-09-23 Technical analysis v1 4,314.19 4,290.90 −23.29 0.54% 4,267.04 4,361.33 ✓ Inside
2026-09-23 12:00 23 XAUT/USDT Day 2026-09-23 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 4,314.00 4,290.90 −23.10 0.54% 4,275.81 4,352.19 ✓ Inside
Sep 22, 2026 · backtest
2026-09-22 12:00 22 BTC/USDT Day 2026-09-22 Technical analysis v1 86,181 86,209 +28.55 0.03% 84,404 87,957 ✓ Inside
2026-09-22 12:00 22 BTC/USDT Day 2026-09-22 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 85,993 86,209 +216.50 0.25% 84,554 87,432 ✓ Inside
2026-09-22 12:00 22 ETH/USDT Day 2026-09-22 Technical analysis v1 2,750.23 2,753.82 +3.59 0.13% 2,675.58 2,824.87 ✓ Inside
2026-09-22 12:00 22 ETH/USDT Day 2026-09-22 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 2,742.24 2,753.82 +11.58 0.42% 2,681.78 2,802.70 ✓ Inside
2026-09-22 12:00 22 SOL/USDT Day 2026-09-22 Technical analysis v1 117.82 118.55 +0.73 0.61% 114.02 121.63 ✓ Inside
2026-09-22 12:00 22 SOL/USDT Day 2026-09-22 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 117.34 118.55 +1.21 1.02% 114.26 120.42 ✓ Inside
2026-09-22 12:00 22 XAUT/USDT Day 2026-09-22 Technical analysis v1 4,326.77 4,361.50 +34.73 0.80% 4,280.26 4,373.28 ✓ Inside
2026-09-22 12:00 22 XAUT/USDT Day 2026-09-22 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 4,326.70 4,361.50 +34.80 0.80% 4,289.03 4,364.37 ✓ Inside
Sep 21, 2026 · backtest
2026-09-21 12:00 21 BTC/USDT Day 2026-09-21 Technical analysis v1 84,983 86,618 +1,634.82 1.89% 83,426 86,540 ✗ Outside
2026-09-21 12:00 21 BTC/USDT Day 2026-09-21 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 84,885 86,618 +1,732.90 2.00% 83,623 86,146 ✗ Outside
2026-09-21 12:00 21 ETH/USDT Day 2026-09-21 Technical analysis v1 2,730.47 2,776.13 +45.66 1.64% 2,658.99 2,801.95 ✓ Inside
2026-09-21 12:00 21 ETH/USDT Day 2026-09-21 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 2,725.41 2,776.13 +50.72 1.83% 2,667.51 2,783.31 ✓ Inside
2026-09-21 12:00 21 SOL/USDT Day 2026-09-21 Technical analysis v1 117.12 118.91 +1.79 1.50% 113.53 120.71 ✓ Inside
2026-09-21 12:00 21 SOL/USDT Day 2026-09-21 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 116.80 118.91 +2.11 1.77% 113.89 119.71 ✓ Inside
2026-09-21 12:00 21 XAUT/USDT Day 2026-09-21 Technical analysis v1 4,368.70 4,369.00 +0.30 0.01% 4,321.67 4,415.74 ✓ Inside
2026-09-21 12:00 21 XAUT/USDT Day 2026-09-21 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 4,369.60 4,369.00 −0.60 0.01% 4,331.50 4,407.70 ✓ Inside
Sep 20, 2026 · backtest
2026-09-20 12:00 20 BTC/USDT Day 2026-09-20 Technical analysis v1 80,534 81,180 +645.90 0.80% 78,931 82,137 ✓ Inside
2026-09-20 12:00 20 BTC/USDT Day 2026-09-20 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 80,484 81,180 +696.00 0.86% 79,185 81,782 ✓ Inside
2026-09-20 12:00 20 ETH/USDT Day 2026-09-20 Technical analysis v1 2,582.09 2,644.88 +62.79 2.37% 2,509.78 2,654.40 ✓ Inside
2026-09-20 12:00 20 ETH/USDT Day 2026-09-20 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 2,579.09 2,644.88 +65.79 2.49% 2,520.52 2,637.66 ✗ Outside
2026-09-20 12:00 20 SOL/USDT Day 2026-09-20 Technical analysis v1 108.69 111.16 +2.47 2.22% 105.05 112.34 ✓ Inside
2026-09-20 12:00 20 SOL/USDT Day 2026-09-20 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 108.49 111.16 +2.67 2.40% 105.54 111.44 ✓ Inside
2026-09-20 12:00 20 XAUT/USDT Day 2026-09-20 Technical analysis v1 4,368.77 4,373.00 +4.23 0.10% 4,318.88 4,418.65 ✓ Inside
2026-09-20 12:00 20 XAUT/USDT Day 2026-09-20 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 4,370.70 4,373.00 +2.30 0.05% 4,330.29 4,411.11 ✓ Inside
Show the full backtest since Jan 01, 2025 →