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ETH/USDT Plan vs. actual

Every forecast is published at 12:00 UTC (8:00 AM ET) before the outcome and checked against the OKX daily close at 00:00 UTC. Live rows come first; below them is the backtest — the same formulas computed after the fact since Jan 01, 2025.

CryptoSemesh forecast
Average error—
Live record starts with the first issue. No backtest: there is no history of factor scores.
Technical analysis v1
Average error1.98%
No-change baseline1.95%
641 closed forecasts · backtest since Jan 2025
CryptoSemesh range (80%)
Close inside the range78%
Target80%
641 closed forecasts · backtest since Jan 2025
Pair Horizon Method
✓ Inside range✗ Outside rangeAwaiting close Download CSV

Live forecasts

published before the outcome · sealed with a hash · verify
No live forecasts yet — the first issue goes out at 12:00 UTC (8:00 AM ET).

Forecasts vs. actual close

Daily close: forecasts vs. actual
Average error by methodmean |plan − actual| / actual, daily close
Close inside the rangeshare of days, by pair · dashed line = 80% target

Backtest

computed after the fact on real OKX prices · never published in advance · CryptoSemesh forecast has no backtest (no factor history)
Created, UTCDayPairHorizon Close date, UTCMethod / source Plan, USDTActual, USDT Actual − plan, USDTError, % Range low, USDTRange high, USDT Status
Oct 03, 2026 · backtest
2026-10-03 12:00 03 ETH/USDT Day 2026-10-03 Technical analysis v1 2,688.10 2,687.39 −0.71 0.03% 2,622.85 2,753.36 ✓ Inside
2026-10-03 12:00 03 ETH/USDT Day 2026-10-03 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 2,684.62 2,687.39 +2.77 0.10% 2,631.76 2,737.48 ✓ Inside
Oct 02, 2026 · backtest
2026-10-02 12:00 02 ETH/USDT Day 2026-10-02 Technical analysis v1 2,750.71 2,668.71 −82.00 3.07% 2,687.37 2,814.04 ✗ Outside
2026-10-02 12:00 02 ETH/USDT Day 2026-10-02 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 2,746.65 2,668.71 −77.94 2.92% 2,695.35 2,797.95 ✗ Outside
Oct 01, 2026 · backtest
2026-10-01 12:00 01 ETH/USDT Day 2026-10-01 Technical analysis v1 2,711.07 2,706.22 −4.85 0.18% 2,645.51 2,776.62 ✓ Inside
2026-10-01 12:00 01 ETH/USDT Day 2026-10-01 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 2,706.69 2,706.22 −0.47 0.02% 2,653.59 2,759.79 ✓ Inside
Sep 30, 2026 · backtest
2026-09-30 12:00 30 ETH/USDT Day 2026-09-30 Technical analysis v1 2,702.42 2,685.75 −16.67 0.62% 2,636.23 2,768.62 ✓ Inside
2026-09-30 12:00 30 ETH/USDT Day 2026-09-30 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 2,697.52 2,685.75 −11.77 0.44% 2,643.90 2,751.14 ✓ Inside
Sep 29, 2026 · backtest
2026-09-29 12:00 29 ETH/USDT Day 2026-09-29 Technical analysis v1 2,737.80 2,678.31 −59.49 2.22% 2,671.76 2,803.84 ✓ Inside
2026-09-29 12:00 29 ETH/USDT Day 2026-09-29 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 2,732.28 2,678.31 −53.97 2.02% 2,678.79 2,785.77 ✗ Outside
Sep 28, 2026 · backtest
2026-09-28 12:00 28 ETH/USDT Day 2026-09-28 Technical analysis v1 2,675.05 2,688.90 +13.85 0.52% 2,608.56 2,741.54 ✓ Inside
2026-09-28 12:00 28 ETH/USDT Day 2026-09-28 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 2,668.99 2,688.90 +19.91 0.74% 2,615.13 2,722.85 ✓ Inside
Sep 27, 2026 · backtest
2026-09-27 12:00 27 ETH/USDT Day 2026-09-27 Technical analysis v1 2,716.88 2,688.79 −28.09 1.04% 2,648.21 2,785.56 ✓ Inside
2026-09-27 12:00 27 ETH/USDT Day 2026-09-27 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 2,709.50 2,688.79 −20.71 0.77% 2,653.87 2,765.13 ✓ Inside
Sep 26, 2026 · backtest
2026-09-26 12:00 26 ETH/USDT Day 2026-09-26 Technical analysis v1 2,698.44 2,696.15 −2.29 0.09% 2,626.30 2,770.59 ✓ Inside
2026-09-26 12:00 26 ETH/USDT Day 2026-09-26 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 2,689.44 2,696.15 +6.71 0.25% 2,631.00 2,747.88 ✓ Inside
Sep 25, 2026 · backtest
2026-09-25 12:00 25 ETH/USDT Day 2026-09-25 Technical analysis v1 2,726.91 2,691.82 −35.09 1.30% 2,653.31 2,800.50 ✓ Inside
2026-09-25 12:00 25 ETH/USDT Day 2026-09-25 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 2,717.45 2,691.82 −25.63 0.95% 2,657.84 2,777.06 ✓ Inside
Sep 24, 2026 · backtest
2026-09-24 12:00 24 ETH/USDT Day 2026-09-24 Technical analysis v1 2,657.37 2,687.96 +30.59 1.14% 2,582.35 2,732.39 ✓ Inside
2026-09-24 12:00 24 ETH/USDT Day 2026-09-24 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 2,647.50 2,687.96 +40.46 1.51% 2,586.73 2,708.27 ✓ Inside
Sep 23, 2026 · backtest
2026-09-23 12:00 23 ETH/USDT Day 2026-09-23 Technical analysis v1 2,738.26 2,684.83 −53.43 1.99% 2,665.81 2,810.71 ✓ Inside
2026-09-23 12:00 23 ETH/USDT Day 2026-09-23 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 2,728.12 2,684.83 −43.29 1.61% 2,669.44 2,786.80 ✓ Inside
Sep 22, 2026 · backtest
2026-09-22 12:00 22 ETH/USDT Day 2026-09-22 Technical analysis v1 2,750.23 2,753.82 +3.59 0.13% 2,675.58 2,824.87 ✓ Inside
2026-09-22 12:00 22 ETH/USDT Day 2026-09-22 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 2,742.24 2,753.82 +11.58 0.42% 2,681.78 2,802.70 ✓ Inside
Sep 21, 2026 · backtest
2026-09-21 12:00 21 ETH/USDT Day 2026-09-21 Technical analysis v1 2,730.47 2,776.13 +45.66 1.64% 2,658.99 2,801.95 ✓ Inside
2026-09-21 12:00 21 ETH/USDT Day 2026-09-21 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 2,725.41 2,776.13 +50.72 1.83% 2,667.51 2,783.31 ✓ Inside
Sep 20, 2026 · backtest
2026-09-20 12:00 20 ETH/USDT Day 2026-09-20 Technical analysis v1 2,582.09 2,644.88 +62.79 2.37% 2,509.78 2,654.40 ✓ Inside
2026-09-20 12:00 20 ETH/USDT Day 2026-09-20 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 2,579.09 2,644.88 +65.79 2.49% 2,520.52 2,637.66 ✗ Outside
Show the full backtest since Jan 01, 2025 →