CryptoSemeshCompass v1
Plan vs. actual
Every forecast is published at 12:00 UTC (8:00 AM ET) before the outcome and checked against the OKX daily close at 00:00 UTC. Live rows come first; below them is the backtest — the same formulas computed after the fact since Jan 01, 2025.
CryptoSemesh forecast
Average error—
Live record starts with the first issue. No backtest: there is no history of factor scores.
Technical analysis v1
Average error1.54%
No-change baseline1.52%
2564 closed forecasts · backtest since Jan 2025
CryptoSemesh range (80%)
Close inside the range79%
Target80%
2564 closed forecasts · backtest since Jan 2025
✓ Inside range✗ Outside rangeAwaiting close
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Live forecasts
published before the outcome · sealed with a hash · verifyNo live forecasts yet — the first issue goes out at 12:00 UTC (8:00 AM ET).
Forecasts vs. actual close
Daily close: forecasts vs. actual
Average error by methodmean |plan − actual| / actual, daily close
Close inside the rangeshare of days, by pair · dashed line = 80% target
Backtest
computed after the fact on real OKX prices · never published in advance · CryptoSemesh forecast has no backtest (no factor history)| Created, UTC | Day | Pair | Horizon | Close date, UTC | Method / source | Plan, USDT | Actual, USDT | Actual − plan, USDT | Error, % | Range low, USDT | Range high, USDT | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 03, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-10-03 12:00 | 03 | BTC/USDT | Day | 2026-10-03 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 84,676 | 84,755 | +78.70 | 0.09% | 83,338 | 86,014 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-10-03 12:00 | 03 | ETH/USDT | Day | 2026-10-03 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 2,684.62 | 2,687.39 | +2.77 | 0.10% | 2,631.76 | 2,737.48 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-10-03 12:00 | 03 | SOL/USDT | Day | 2026-10-03 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 119.32 | 119.63 | +0.31 | 0.26% | 116.30 | 122.34 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-10-03 12:00 | 03 | XAUT/USDT | Day | 2026-10-03 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 4,142.50 | 4,142.20 | −0.30 | 0.01% | 4,104.80 | 4,180.20 | ✓ Inside |
| Oct 02, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-10-02 12:00 | 02 | BTC/USDT | Day | 2026-10-02 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 86,418 | 84,519 | −1,899.20 | 2.25% | 85,125 | 87,711 | ✗ Outside |
| 2026-10-02 12:00 | 02 | ETH/USDT | Day | 2026-10-02 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 2,746.65 | 2,668.71 | −77.94 | 2.92% | 2,695.35 | 2,797.95 | ✗ Outside |
| 2026-10-02 12:00 | 02 | SOL/USDT | Day | 2026-10-02 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 121.82 | 118.64 | −3.18 | 2.68% | 118.87 | 124.77 | ✗ Outside |
| 2026-10-02 12:00 | 02 | XAUT/USDT | Day | 2026-10-02 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 4,181.40 | 4,143.10 | −38.30 | 0.92% | 4,144.74 | 4,218.06 | ✗ Outside |
| Oct 01, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-10-01 12:00 | 01 | BTC/USDT | Day | 2026-10-01 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 83,914 | 84,877 | +963.50 | 1.14% | 82,613 | 85,214 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-10-01 12:00 | 01 | ETH/USDT | Day | 2026-10-01 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 2,706.69 | 2,706.22 | −0.47 | 0.02% | 2,653.59 | 2,759.79 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-10-01 12:00 | 01 | SOL/USDT | Day | 2026-10-01 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 117.96 | 118.40 | +0.44 | 0.37% | 114.91 | 121.01 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-10-01 12:00 | 01 | XAUT/USDT | Day | 2026-10-01 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 4,182.10 | 4,183.90 | +1.80 | 0.04% | 4,144.70 | 4,219.50 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 30, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-30 12:00 | 30 | BTC/USDT | Day | 2026-09-30 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 83,915 | 83,618 | −296.40 | 0.35% | 82,633 | 85,197 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-30 12:00 | 30 | ETH/USDT | Day | 2026-09-30 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 2,697.52 | 2,685.75 | −11.77 | 0.44% | 2,643.90 | 2,751.14 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-30 12:00 | 30 | SOL/USDT | Day | 2026-09-30 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 119.51 | 118.13 | −1.38 | 1.17% | 116.48 | 122.54 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-30 12:00 | 30 | XAUT/USDT | Day | 2026-09-30 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 4,187.20 | 4,159.80 | −27.40 | 0.66% | 4,149.69 | 4,224.71 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 29, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-29 12:00 | 29 | BTC/USDT | Day | 2026-09-29 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 84,351 | 83,658 | −693.10 | 0.83% | 83,048 | 85,653 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-29 12:00 | 29 | ETH/USDT | Day | 2026-09-29 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 2,732.28 | 2,678.31 | −53.97 | 2.02% | 2,678.79 | 2,785.77 | ✗ Outside |
| 2026-09-29 12:00 | 29 | SOL/USDT | Day | 2026-09-29 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 120.16 | 119.14 | −1.02 | 0.86% | 117.13 | 123.19 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-29 12:00 | 29 | XAUT/USDT | Day | 2026-09-29 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 4,158.10 | 4,185.10 | +27.00 | 0.65% | 4,120.62 | 4,195.58 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 28, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-28 12:00 | 28 | BTC/USDT | Day | 2026-09-28 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 83,088 | 83,500 | +412.40 | 0.49% | 81,793 | 84,382 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-28 12:00 | 28 | ETH/USDT | Day | 2026-09-28 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 2,668.99 | 2,688.90 | +19.91 | 0.74% | 2,615.13 | 2,722.85 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-28 12:00 | 28 | SOL/USDT | Day | 2026-09-28 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 118.74 | 118.89 | +0.15 | 0.13% | 115.73 | 121.75 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-28 12:00 | 28 | XAUT/USDT | Day | 2026-09-28 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 4,154.30 | 4,132.90 | −21.40 | 0.52% | 4,120.32 | 4,188.28 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 27, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-27 12:00 | 27 | BTC/USDT | Day | 2026-09-27 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 84,893 | 84,479 | −413.60 | 0.49% | 83,546 | 86,240 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-27 12:00 | 27 | ETH/USDT | Day | 2026-09-27 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 2,709.50 | 2,688.79 | −20.71 | 0.77% | 2,653.87 | 2,765.13 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-27 12:00 | 27 | SOL/USDT | Day | 2026-09-27 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 123.93 | 121.99 | −1.94 | 1.59% | 120.90 | 126.96 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-27 12:00 | 27 | XAUT/USDT | Day | 2026-09-27 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 4,280.40 | 4,262.50 | −17.90 | 0.42% | 4,244.80 | 4,316.00 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 26, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-26 12:00 | 26 | BTC/USDT | Day | 2026-09-26 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 84,172 | 84,440 | +268.00 | 0.32% | 82,752 | 85,592 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-26 12:00 | 26 | ETH/USDT | Day | 2026-09-26 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 2,689.44 | 2,696.15 | +6.71 | 0.25% | 2,631.00 | 2,747.88 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-26 12:00 | 26 | SOL/USDT | Day | 2026-09-26 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 121.31 | 121.41 | +0.10 | 0.08% | 118.16 | 124.46 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-26 12:00 | 26 | XAUT/USDT | Day | 2026-09-26 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 4,282.00 | 4,281.70 | −0.30 | 0.01% | 4,244.03 | 4,319.97 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 25, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-25 12:00 | 25 | BTC/USDT | Day | 2026-09-25 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 84,581 | 84,099 | −481.70 | 0.57% | 83,143 | 86,018 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-25 12:00 | 25 | ETH/USDT | Day | 2026-09-25 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 2,717.45 | 2,691.82 | −25.63 | 0.95% | 2,657.84 | 2,777.06 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-25 12:00 | 25 | SOL/USDT | Day | 2026-09-25 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 120.85 | 122.16 | +1.31 | 1.07% | 117.77 | 123.93 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-25 12:00 | 25 | XAUT/USDT | Day | 2026-09-25 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 4,299.00 | 4,287.30 | −11.70 | 0.27% | 4,260.50 | 4,337.50 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 24, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-24 12:00 | 24 | BTC/USDT | Day | 2026-09-24 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 83,490 | 84,410 | +919.60 | 1.09% | 82,033 | 84,947 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-24 12:00 | 24 | ETH/USDT | Day | 2026-09-24 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 2,647.50 | 2,687.96 | +40.46 | 1.51% | 2,586.73 | 2,708.27 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-24 12:00 | 24 | SOL/USDT | Day | 2026-09-24 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 113.35 | 117.05 | +3.70 | 3.16% | 110.27 | 116.43 | ✗ Outside |
| 2026-09-24 12:00 | 24 | XAUT/USDT | Day | 2026-09-24 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 4,267.50 | 4,261.80 | −5.70 | 0.13% | 4,228.50 | 4,306.50 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 23, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-23 12:00 | 23 | BTC/USDT | Day | 2026-09-23 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 85,659 | 84,400 | −1,259.20 | 1.49% | 84,256 | 87,061 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-23 12:00 | 23 | ETH/USDT | Day | 2026-09-23 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 2,728.12 | 2,684.83 | −43.29 | 1.61% | 2,669.44 | 2,786.80 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-23 12:00 | 23 | SOL/USDT | Day | 2026-09-23 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 117.10 | 115.01 | −2.09 | 1.82% | 114.08 | 120.12 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-23 12:00 | 23 | XAUT/USDT | Day | 2026-09-23 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 4,314.00 | 4,290.90 | −23.10 | 0.54% | 4,275.81 | 4,352.19 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 22, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-22 12:00 | 22 | BTC/USDT | Day | 2026-09-22 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 85,993 | 86,209 | +216.50 | 0.25% | 84,554 | 87,432 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-22 12:00 | 22 | ETH/USDT | Day | 2026-09-22 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 2,742.24 | 2,753.82 | +11.58 | 0.42% | 2,681.78 | 2,802.70 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-22 12:00 | 22 | SOL/USDT | Day | 2026-09-22 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 117.34 | 118.55 | +1.21 | 1.02% | 114.26 | 120.42 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-22 12:00 | 22 | XAUT/USDT | Day | 2026-09-22 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 4,326.70 | 4,361.50 | +34.80 | 0.80% | 4,289.03 | 4,364.37 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 21, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 12:00 | 21 | BTC/USDT | Day | 2026-09-21 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 84,885 | 86,618 | +1,732.90 | 2.00% | 83,623 | 86,146 | ✗ Outside |
| 2026-09-21 12:00 | 21 | ETH/USDT | Day | 2026-09-21 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 2,725.41 | 2,776.13 | +50.72 | 1.83% | 2,667.51 | 2,783.31 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-21 12:00 | 21 | SOL/USDT | Day | 2026-09-21 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 116.80 | 118.91 | +2.11 | 1.77% | 113.89 | 119.71 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-21 12:00 | 21 | XAUT/USDT | Day | 2026-09-21 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 4,369.60 | 4,369.00 | −0.60 | 0.01% | 4,331.50 | 4,407.70 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 20, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 12:00 | 20 | BTC/USDT | Day | 2026-09-20 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 80,484 | 81,180 | +696.00 | 0.86% | 79,185 | 81,782 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-20 12:00 | 20 | ETH/USDT | Day | 2026-09-20 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 2,579.09 | 2,644.88 | +65.79 | 2.49% | 2,520.52 | 2,637.66 | ✗ Outside |
| 2026-09-20 12:00 | 20 | SOL/USDT | Day | 2026-09-20 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 108.49 | 111.16 | +2.67 | 2.40% | 105.54 | 111.44 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-20 12:00 | 20 | XAUT/USDT | Day | 2026-09-20 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 4,370.70 | 4,373.00 | +2.30 | 0.05% | 4,330.29 | 4,411.11 | ✓ Inside |