CryptoSemeshCompass v1
BTC/USDT Plan vs. actual
Every forecast is published at 12:00 UTC (8:00 AM ET) before the outcome and checked against the OKX daily close at 00:00 UTC. Live rows come first; below them is the backtest — the same formulas computed after the fact since Jan 01, 2025.
CryptoSemesh forecast
Average error—
Live record starts with the first issue. No backtest: there is no history of factor scores.
Technical analysis v1
Average error1.26%
No-change baseline1.24%
641 closed forecasts · backtest since Jan 2025
CryptoSemesh range (80%)
Close inside the range79%
Target80%
641 closed forecasts · backtest since Jan 2025
✓ Inside range✗ Outside rangeAwaiting close
Download CSV
Live forecasts
published before the outcome · sealed with a hash · verifyNo live forecasts yet — the first issue goes out at 12:00 UTC (8:00 AM ET).
Forecasts vs. actual close
Daily close: forecasts vs. actual
Average error by methodmean |plan − actual| / actual, daily close
Close inside the rangeshare of days, by pair · dashed line = 80% target
Backtest
computed after the fact on real OKX prices · never published in advance · CryptoSemesh forecast has no backtest (no factor history)| Created, UTC | Day | Pair | Horizon | Close date, UTC | Method / source | Plan, USDT | Actual, USDT | Actual − plan, USDT | Error, % | Range low, USDT | Range high, USDT | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 03, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-10-03 12:00 | 03 | BTC/USDT | Day | 2026-10-03 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 84,676 | 84,755 | +78.70 | 0.09% | 83,338 | 86,014 | ✓ Inside |
| Oct 02, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-10-02 12:00 | 02 | BTC/USDT | Day | 2026-10-02 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 86,418 | 84,519 | −1,899.20 | 2.25% | 85,125 | 87,711 | ✗ Outside |
| Oct 01, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-10-01 12:00 | 01 | BTC/USDT | Day | 2026-10-01 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 83,914 | 84,877 | +963.50 | 1.14% | 82,613 | 85,214 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 30, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-30 12:00 | 30 | BTC/USDT | Day | 2026-09-30 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 83,915 | 83,618 | −296.40 | 0.35% | 82,633 | 85,197 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 29, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-29 12:00 | 29 | BTC/USDT | Day | 2026-09-29 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 84,351 | 83,658 | −693.10 | 0.83% | 83,048 | 85,653 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 28, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-28 12:00 | 28 | BTC/USDT | Day | 2026-09-28 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 83,088 | 83,500 | +412.40 | 0.49% | 81,793 | 84,382 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 27, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-27 12:00 | 27 | BTC/USDT | Day | 2026-09-27 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 84,893 | 84,479 | −413.60 | 0.49% | 83,546 | 86,240 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 26, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-26 12:00 | 26 | BTC/USDT | Day | 2026-09-26 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 84,172 | 84,440 | +268.00 | 0.32% | 82,752 | 85,592 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 25, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-25 12:00 | 25 | BTC/USDT | Day | 2026-09-25 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 84,581 | 84,099 | −481.70 | 0.57% | 83,143 | 86,018 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 24, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-24 12:00 | 24 | BTC/USDT | Day | 2026-09-24 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 83,490 | 84,410 | +919.60 | 1.09% | 82,033 | 84,947 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 23, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-23 12:00 | 23 | BTC/USDT | Day | 2026-09-23 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 85,659 | 84,400 | −1,259.20 | 1.49% | 84,256 | 87,061 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 22, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-22 12:00 | 22 | BTC/USDT | Day | 2026-09-22 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 85,993 | 86,209 | +216.50 | 0.25% | 84,554 | 87,432 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 21, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 12:00 | 21 | BTC/USDT | Day | 2026-09-21 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 84,885 | 86,618 | +1,732.90 | 2.00% | 83,623 | 86,146 | ✗ Outside |
| Sep 20, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 12:00 | 20 | BTC/USDT | Day | 2026-09-20 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 80,484 | 81,180 | +696.00 | 0.86% | 79,185 | 81,782 | ✓ Inside |