CryptoSemeshCompass v1
ETH/USDT Plan vs. actual
Every forecast is published at 12:00 UTC (8:00 AM ET) before the outcome and checked against the OKX daily close at 00:00 UTC. Live rows come first; below them is the backtest — the same formulas computed after the fact since Jan 01, 2025.
CryptoSemesh forecast
Average error—
Live record starts with the first issue. No backtest: there is no history of factor scores.
Technical analysis v1
Average error1.98%
No-change baseline1.95%
641 closed forecasts · backtest since Jan 2025
CryptoSemesh range (80%)
Close inside the range78%
Target80%
641 closed forecasts · backtest since Jan 2025
✓ Inside range✗ Outside rangeAwaiting close
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Live forecasts
published before the outcome · sealed with a hash · verifyNo live forecasts yet — the first issue goes out at 12:00 UTC (8:00 AM ET).
Forecasts vs. actual close
Daily close: forecasts vs. actual
Average error by methodmean |plan − actual| / actual, daily close
Close inside the rangeshare of days, by pair · dashed line = 80% target
Backtest
computed after the fact on real OKX prices · never published in advance · CryptoSemesh forecast has no backtest (no factor history)| Created, UTC | Day | Pair | Horizon | Close date, UTC | Method / source | Plan, USDT | Actual, USDT | Actual − plan, USDT | Error, % | Range low, USDT | Range high, USDT | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 03, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-10-03 12:00 | 03 | ETH/USDT | Day | 2026-10-03 | Technical analysis v1 | 2,688.10 | 2,687.39 | −0.71 | 0.03% | 2,622.85 | 2,753.36 | ✓ Inside |
| Oct 02, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-10-02 12:00 | 02 | ETH/USDT | Day | 2026-10-02 | Technical analysis v1 | 2,750.71 | 2,668.71 | −82.00 | 3.07% | 2,687.37 | 2,814.04 | ✗ Outside |
| Oct 01, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-10-01 12:00 | 01 | ETH/USDT | Day | 2026-10-01 | Technical analysis v1 | 2,711.07 | 2,706.22 | −4.85 | 0.18% | 2,645.51 | 2,776.62 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 30, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-30 12:00 | 30 | ETH/USDT | Day | 2026-09-30 | Technical analysis v1 | 2,702.42 | 2,685.75 | −16.67 | 0.62% | 2,636.23 | 2,768.62 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 29, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-29 12:00 | 29 | ETH/USDT | Day | 2026-09-29 | Technical analysis v1 | 2,737.80 | 2,678.31 | −59.49 | 2.22% | 2,671.76 | 2,803.84 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 28, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-28 12:00 | 28 | ETH/USDT | Day | 2026-09-28 | Technical analysis v1 | 2,675.05 | 2,688.90 | +13.85 | 0.52% | 2,608.56 | 2,741.54 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 27, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-27 12:00 | 27 | ETH/USDT | Day | 2026-09-27 | Technical analysis v1 | 2,716.88 | 2,688.79 | −28.09 | 1.04% | 2,648.21 | 2,785.56 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 26, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-26 12:00 | 26 | ETH/USDT | Day | 2026-09-26 | Technical analysis v1 | 2,698.44 | 2,696.15 | −2.29 | 0.09% | 2,626.30 | 2,770.59 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-26 12:00 | 26 | ETH/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-10-03 | Technical analysis v1 | 2,824.47 | 2,687.39 | −137.08 | 5.10% | 2,545.06 | 3,103.88 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 25, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-25 12:00 | 25 | ETH/USDT | Day | 2026-09-25 | Technical analysis v1 | 2,726.91 | 2,691.82 | −35.09 | 1.30% | 2,653.31 | 2,800.50 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-25 12:00 | 25 | ETH/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-10-02 | Technical analysis v1 | 2,859.28 | 2,668.71 | −190.57 | 7.14% | 2,574.25 | 3,144.31 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 24, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-24 12:00 | 24 | ETH/USDT | Day | 2026-09-24 | Technical analysis v1 | 2,657.37 | 2,687.96 | +30.59 | 1.14% | 2,582.35 | 2,732.39 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-24 12:00 | 24 | ETH/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-10-01 | Technical analysis v1 | 2,795.55 | 2,706.22 | −89.33 | 3.30% | 2,504.98 | 3,086.11 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 23, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-23 12:00 | 23 | ETH/USDT | Day | 2026-09-23 | Technical analysis v1 | 2,738.26 | 2,684.83 | −53.43 | 1.99% | 2,665.81 | 2,810.71 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-23 12:00 | 23 | ETH/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-09-30 | Technical analysis v1 | 2,880.24 | 2,685.75 | −194.49 | 7.24% | 2,599.66 | 3,160.83 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 22, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-22 12:00 | 22 | ETH/USDT | Day | 2026-09-22 | Technical analysis v1 | 2,750.23 | 2,753.82 | +3.59 | 0.13% | 2,675.58 | 2,824.87 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-22 12:00 | 22 | ETH/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-09-29 | Technical analysis v1 | 2,862.03 | 2,678.31 | −183.72 | 6.86% | 2,572.95 | 3,151.12 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 21, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 12:00 | 21 | ETH/USDT | Day | 2026-09-21 | Technical analysis v1 | 2,730.47 | 2,776.13 | +45.66 | 1.64% | 2,658.99 | 2,801.95 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-21 12:00 | 21 | ETH/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-09-28 | Technical analysis v1 | 2,801.34 | 2,688.90 | −112.44 | 4.18% | 2,524.50 | 3,078.18 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 20, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 12:00 | 20 | ETH/USDT | Day | 2026-09-20 | Technical analysis v1 | 2,582.09 | 2,644.88 | +62.79 | 2.37% | 2,509.78 | 2,654.40 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-20 12:00 | 20 | ETH/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-09-27 | Technical analysis v1 | 2,624.05 | 2,688.79 | +64.74 | 2.41% | 2,343.99 | 2,904.10 | ✓ Inside |