SOL/USDT Plan vs. actual

Every forecast is published at 12:00 UTC (8:00 AM ET) before the outcome and checked against the OKX daily close at 00:00 UTC. Live rows come first; below them is the backtest — the same formulas computed after the fact since Jan 01, 2025.

CryptoSemesh forecast
Average error—
Live record starts with the first issue. No backtest: there is no history of factor scores.
Technical analysis v1
Average error2.31%
No-change baseline2.29%
641 closed forecasts · backtest since Jan 2025
CryptoSemesh range (80%)
Close inside the range80%
Target80%
641 closed forecasts · backtest since Jan 2025
Pair Horizon Method
✓ Inside range✗ Outside rangeAwaiting close Download CSV

Live forecasts

published before the outcome · sealed with a hash · verify
No live forecasts yet — the first issue goes out at 12:00 UTC (8:00 AM ET).

Forecasts vs. actual close

Daily close: forecasts vs. actual
Average error by methodmean |plan − actual| / actual, daily close
Close inside the rangeshare of days, by pair · dashed line = 80% target

Backtest

computed after the fact on real OKX prices · never published in advance · CryptoSemesh forecast has no backtest (no factor history)
Created, UTCDayPairHorizon Close date, UTCMethod / source Plan, USDTActual, USDT Actual − plan, USDTError, % Range low, USDTRange high, USDT Status
Oct 03, 2026 · backtest
2026-10-03 12:00 03 SOL/USDT Day 2026-10-03 Technical analysis v1 119.61 119.63 +0.02 0.02% 115.89 123.33 ✓ Inside
Oct 02, 2026 · backtest
2026-10-02 12:00 02 SOL/USDT Day 2026-10-02 Technical analysis v1 122.18 118.64 −3.54 2.98% 118.53 125.82 ✓ Inside
Oct 01, 2026 · backtest
2026-10-01 12:00 01 SOL/USDT Day 2026-10-01 Technical analysis v1 118.38 118.40 +0.02 0.01% 114.62 122.15 ✓ Inside
Sep 30, 2026 · backtest
2026-09-30 12:00 30 SOL/USDT Day 2026-09-30 Technical analysis v1 120.02 118.13 −1.89 1.60% 116.28 123.76 ✓ Inside
Sep 29, 2026 · backtest
2026-09-29 12:00 29 SOL/USDT Day 2026-09-29 Technical analysis v1 120.70 119.14 −1.56 1.31% 116.96 124.44 ✓ Inside
Sep 28, 2026 · backtest
2026-09-28 12:00 28 SOL/USDT Day 2026-09-28 Technical analysis v1 119.30 118.89 −0.41 0.34% 115.58 123.02 ✓ Inside
Sep 27, 2026 · backtest
2026-09-27 12:00 27 SOL/USDT Day 2026-09-27 Technical analysis v1 124.51 121.99 −2.52 2.07% 120.77 128.25 ✓ Inside
Sep 26, 2026 · backtest
2026-09-26 12:00 26 SOL/USDT Day 2026-09-26 Technical analysis v1 121.93 121.41 −0.52 0.43% 118.04 125.81 ✓ Inside
2026-09-26 12:00 26 SOL/USDT In 7 days 2026-10-03 Technical analysis v1 130.57 119.63 −10.94 9.14% 115.52 145.61 ✓ Inside
Sep 25, 2026 · backtest
2026-09-25 12:00 25 SOL/USDT Day 2026-09-25 Technical analysis v1 121.42 122.16 +0.74 0.61% 117.62 125.21 ✓ Inside
2026-09-25 12:00 25 SOL/USDT In 7 days 2026-10-02 Technical analysis v1 129.34 118.64 −10.70 9.02% 114.64 144.05 ✓ Inside
Sep 24, 2026 · backtest
2026-09-24 12:00 24 SOL/USDT Day 2026-09-24 Technical analysis v1 113.91 117.05 +3.14 2.68% 110.11 117.72 ✓ Inside
2026-09-24 12:00 24 SOL/USDT In 7 days 2026-10-01 Technical analysis v1 121.79 118.40 −3.39 2.87% 107.06 136.52 ✓ Inside
Sep 23, 2026 · backtest
2026-09-23 12:00 23 SOL/USDT Day 2026-09-23 Technical analysis v1 117.70 115.01 −2.69 2.34% 113.97 121.43 ✓ Inside
2026-09-23 12:00 23 SOL/USDT In 7 days 2026-09-30 Technical analysis v1 126.07 118.13 −7.94 6.72% 111.63 140.52 ✓ Inside
Sep 22, 2026 · backtest
2026-09-22 12:00 22 SOL/USDT Day 2026-09-22 Technical analysis v1 117.82 118.55 +0.73 0.61% 114.02 121.63 ✓ Inside
2026-09-22 12:00 22 SOL/USDT In 7 days 2026-09-29 Technical analysis v1 124.58 119.14 −5.44 4.57% 109.86 139.31 ✓ Inside
Sep 21, 2026 · backtest
2026-09-21 12:00 21 SOL/USDT Day 2026-09-21 Technical analysis v1 117.12 118.91 +1.79 1.50% 113.53 120.71 ✓ Inside
2026-09-21 12:00 21 SOL/USDT In 7 days 2026-09-28 Technical analysis v1 121.61 118.89 −2.72 2.29% 107.70 135.52 ✓ Inside
Sep 20, 2026 · backtest
2026-09-20 12:00 20 SOL/USDT Day 2026-09-20 Technical analysis v1 108.69 111.16 +2.47 2.22% 105.05 112.34 ✓ Inside
2026-09-20 12:00 20 SOL/USDT In 7 days 2026-09-27 Technical analysis v1 111.55 121.99 +10.44 8.56% 97.44 125.67 ✓ Inside
Show the full backtest since Jan 01, 2025 →