CryptoSemeshCompass v1
ETH/USDT Plan vs. actual
Every forecast is published at 12:00 UTC (8:00 AM ET) before the outcome and checked against the OKX daily close at 00:00 UTC. Live rows come first; below them is the backtest — the same formulas computed after the fact since Jan 01, 2025.
CryptoSemesh forecast
Average error—
Live record starts with the first issue. No backtest: there is no history of factor scores.
Technical analysis v1
Average error1.98%
No-change baseline1.95%
641 closed forecasts · backtest since Jan 2025
CryptoSemesh range (80%)
Close inside the range78%
Target80%
641 closed forecasts · backtest since Jan 2025
✓ Inside range✗ Outside rangeAwaiting close
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Live forecasts
published before the outcome · sealed with a hash · verifyNo live forecasts yet — the first issue goes out at 12:00 UTC (8:00 AM ET).
Forecasts vs. actual close
Daily close: forecasts vs. actual
Average error by methodmean |plan − actual| / actual, daily close
Close inside the rangeshare of days, by pair · dashed line = 80% target
Backtest
computed after the fact on real OKX prices · never published in advance · CryptoSemesh forecast has no backtest (no factor history)| Created, UTC | Day | Pair | Horizon | Close date, UTC | Method / source | Plan, USDT | Actual, USDT | Actual − plan, USDT | Error, % | Range low, USDT | Range high, USDT | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 03, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-10-03 12:00 | 03 | ETH/USDT | Day | 2026-10-03 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 2,684.62 | 2,687.39 | +2.77 | 0.10% | 2,631.76 | 2,737.48 | ✓ Inside |
| Oct 02, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-10-02 12:00 | 02 | ETH/USDT | Day | 2026-10-02 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 2,746.65 | 2,668.71 | −77.94 | 2.92% | 2,695.35 | 2,797.95 | ✗ Outside |
| Oct 01, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-10-01 12:00 | 01 | ETH/USDT | Day | 2026-10-01 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 2,706.69 | 2,706.22 | −0.47 | 0.02% | 2,653.59 | 2,759.79 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 30, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-30 12:00 | 30 | ETH/USDT | Day | 2026-09-30 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 2,697.52 | 2,685.75 | −11.77 | 0.44% | 2,643.90 | 2,751.14 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 29, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-29 12:00 | 29 | ETH/USDT | Day | 2026-09-29 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 2,732.28 | 2,678.31 | −53.97 | 2.02% | 2,678.79 | 2,785.77 | ✗ Outside |
| Sep 28, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-28 12:00 | 28 | ETH/USDT | Day | 2026-09-28 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 2,668.99 | 2,688.90 | +19.91 | 0.74% | 2,615.13 | 2,722.85 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 27, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-27 12:00 | 27 | ETH/USDT | Day | 2026-09-27 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 2,709.50 | 2,688.79 | −20.71 | 0.77% | 2,653.87 | 2,765.13 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 26, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-26 12:00 | 26 | ETH/USDT | Day | 2026-09-26 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 2,689.44 | 2,696.15 | +6.71 | 0.25% | 2,631.00 | 2,747.88 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-26 12:00 | 26 | ETH/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-10-03 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 2,689.44 | 2,687.39 | −2.05 | 0.08% | 2,457.53 | 2,921.35 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 25, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-25 12:00 | 25 | ETH/USDT | Day | 2026-09-25 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 2,717.45 | 2,691.82 | −25.63 | 0.95% | 2,657.84 | 2,777.06 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-25 12:00 | 25 | ETH/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-10-02 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 2,717.45 | 2,668.71 | −48.74 | 1.83% | 2,480.87 | 2,954.03 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 24, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-24 12:00 | 24 | ETH/USDT | Day | 2026-09-24 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 2,647.50 | 2,687.96 | +40.46 | 1.51% | 2,586.73 | 2,708.27 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-24 12:00 | 24 | ETH/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-10-01 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 2,647.50 | 2,706.22 | +58.72 | 2.17% | 2,406.33 | 2,888.67 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 23, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-23 12:00 | 23 | ETH/USDT | Day | 2026-09-23 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 2,728.12 | 2,684.83 | −43.29 | 1.61% | 2,669.44 | 2,786.80 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-23 12:00 | 23 | ETH/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-09-30 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 2,728.12 | 2,685.75 | −42.37 | 1.58% | 2,495.23 | 2,961.01 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 22, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-22 12:00 | 22 | ETH/USDT | Day | 2026-09-22 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 2,742.24 | 2,753.82 | +11.58 | 0.42% | 2,681.78 | 2,802.70 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-22 12:00 | 22 | ETH/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-09-29 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 2,742.24 | 2,678.31 | −63.93 | 2.39% | 2,502.30 | 2,982.18 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 21, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-21 12:00 | 21 | ETH/USDT | Day | 2026-09-21 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 2,725.41 | 2,776.13 | +50.72 | 1.83% | 2,667.51 | 2,783.31 | ✓ Inside |
| 2026-09-21 12:00 | 21 | ETH/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-09-28 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 2,725.41 | 2,688.90 | −36.51 | 1.36% | 2,495.63 | 2,955.19 | ✓ Inside |
| Sep 20, 2026 · backtest | ||||||||||||
| 2026-09-20 12:00 | 20 | ETH/USDT | Day | 2026-09-20 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 2,579.09 | 2,644.88 | +65.79 | 2.49% | 2,520.52 | 2,637.66 | ✗ Outside |
| 2026-09-20 12:00 | 20 | ETH/USDT | In 7 days | 2026-09-27 | CryptoSemesh range (80%) | 2,579.09 | 2,688.79 | +109.70 | 4.08% | 2,346.64 | 2,811.54 | ✓ Inside |