SOL/USDT Plan vs. actual

Every forecast is published at 12:00 UTC (8:00 AM ET) before the outcome and checked against the OKX daily close at 00:00 UTC. Live rows come first; below them is the backtest — the same formulas computed after the fact since Jan 01, 2025.

CryptoSemesh forecast
Average error—
Live record starts with the first issue. No backtest: there is no history of factor scores.
Technical analysis v1
Average error2.31%
No-change baseline2.29%
641 closed forecasts · backtest since Jan 2025
CryptoSemesh range (80%)
Close inside the range80%
Target80%
641 closed forecasts · backtest since Jan 2025
Pair Horizon Method
✓ Inside range✗ Outside rangeAwaiting close Download CSV

Live forecasts

published before the outcome · sealed with a hash · verify
No live forecasts yet — the first issue goes out at 12:00 UTC (8:00 AM ET).

Forecasts vs. actual close

Daily close: forecasts vs. actual
Average error by methodmean |plan − actual| / actual, daily close
Close inside the rangeshare of days, by pair · dashed line = 80% target

Backtest

computed after the fact on real OKX prices · never published in advance · CryptoSemesh forecast has no backtest (no factor history)
Created, UTCDayPairHorizon Close date, UTCMethod / source Plan, USDTActual, USDT Actual − plan, USDTError, % Range low, USDTRange high, USDT Status
Sep 26, 2026 · backtest
2026-09-26 12:00 26 SOL/USDT In 7 days 2026-10-03 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 121.31 119.63 −1.68 1.40% 108.82 133.80 ✓ Inside
Sep 25, 2026 · backtest
2026-09-25 12:00 25 SOL/USDT In 7 days 2026-10-02 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 120.85 118.64 −2.21 1.86% 108.64 133.06 ✓ Inside
Sep 24, 2026 · backtest
2026-09-24 12:00 24 SOL/USDT In 7 days 2026-10-01 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 113.35 118.40 +5.05 4.27% 101.13 125.57 ✓ Inside
Sep 23, 2026 · backtest
2026-09-23 12:00 23 SOL/USDT In 7 days 2026-09-30 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 117.10 118.13 +1.03 0.87% 105.11 129.09 ✓ Inside
Sep 22, 2026 · backtest
2026-09-22 12:00 22 SOL/USDT In 7 days 2026-09-29 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 117.34 119.14 +1.80 1.51% 105.11 129.57 ✓ Inside
Sep 21, 2026 · backtest
2026-09-21 12:00 21 SOL/USDT In 7 days 2026-09-28 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 116.80 118.89 +2.09 1.76% 105.26 128.34 ✓ Inside
Sep 20, 2026 · backtest
2026-09-20 12:00 20 SOL/USDT In 7 days 2026-09-27 CryptoSemesh range (80%) 108.49 121.99 +13.50 11.07% 96.77 120.21 ✗ Outside
Show the full backtest since Jan 01, 2025 →