BTC/USDT forecast track record

Top: live forecasts, published at 12:00 UTC (8:00 AM ET) before the outcome and sealed with a hash. Below: the backtest — the same formula computed after the fact on real OKX prices since Jan 01, 2025.

Live forecasts, 90 days
—
starts with the first live issue
Backtest since Jan 01, 2025
79%
507 of 641 · computed after the fact · target 80%
Average daily range
3.37%
backtest
Daily-range forecast error
±1.38 pp
mean absolute error · backtest
forecast range (80%) close inside close outside
Issued Price at snapshotForecast vs. actualRange CloseDaily range plan / actualHash
Live forecasts — published before the outcome. The first issue goes out at 12:00 UTC (8:00 AM ET).
Backtest — computed after the fact with the same formula on real OKX prices. Never published in advance, so no hashes.
Oct 03, 2026 84,676 83,338 – 86,014 84,755 ✓ 2.76% / 0.68% backtest
Oct 02, 2026 86,418 85,125 – 87,711 84,519 ✗ 2.66% / 3.95% backtest
Oct 01, 2026 83,914 82,613 – 85,214 84,877 ✓ 2.72% / 2.51% backtest
Sep 30, 2026 83,915 82,633 – 85,197 83,618 ✓ 2.68% / 3.22% backtest
Sep 29, 2026 84,351 83,048 – 85,653 83,658 ✓ 2.72% / 2.13% backtest
Sep 28, 2026 83,088 81,793 – 84,382 83,500 ✓ 2.68% / 2.89% backtest
Sep 27, 2026 84,893 83,546 – 86,240 84,479 ✓ 2.79% / 1.27% backtest
Sep 26, 2026 84,172 82,752 – 85,592 84,440 ✓ 2.95% / 0.82% backtest
Sep 25, 2026 84,581 83,143 – 86,018 84,099 ✓ 2.97% / 2.47% backtest
Sep 24, 2026 83,490 82,033 – 84,947 84,410 ✓ 3.01% / 2.45% backtest
Sep 23, 2026 85,659 84,256 – 87,061 84,400 ✓ 2.84% / 4.39% backtest
Sep 22, 2026 85,993 84,554 – 87,432 86,209 ✓ 2.90% / 1.87% backtest
Sep 21, 2026 84,885 83,623 – 86,146 86,618 ✗ 2.71% / 8.06% backtest
Sep 20, 2026 80,484 79,185 – 81,782 81,180 ✓ 2.79% / 1.68% backtest
Sep 19, 2026 81,308 79,959 – 82,658 81,266 ✓ 2.91% / 1.37% backtest
Sep 18, 2026 78,063 76,834 – 79,291 80,903 ✗ 2.81% / 6.69% backtest
Sep 17, 2026 76,483 75,212 – 77,755 76,419 ✓ 2.91% / 1.52% backtest
Sep 16, 2026 76,250 74,946 – 77,553 76,201 ✓ 3.01% / 1.99% backtest
Sep 15, 2026 76,924 75,666 – 78,182 75,641 ✗ 2.81% / 4.23% backtest
Sep 14, 2026 77,788 76,575 – 79,002 78,196 ✓ 2.76% / 4.17% backtest
Sep 13, 2026 76,790 75,525 – 78,054 76,836 ✓ 2.86% / 1.23% backtest
Sep 12, 2026 77,354 76,012 – 78,697 77,281 ✓ 3.04% / 0.57% backtest
Sep 11, 2026 77,035 75,760 – 78,309 77,223 ✓ 2.91% / 5.09% backtest
Sep 10, 2026 77,840 76,559 – 79,120 76,570 ✓ 2.86% / 2.67% backtest
Sep 09, 2026 79,322 78,031 – 80,612 78,301 ✓ 2.87% / 2.55% backtest
Sep 08, 2026 78,428 77,120 – 79,736 78,459 ✓ 2.89% / 2.35% backtest
Sep 07, 2026 79,416 78,085 – 80,747 79,112 ✓ 2.89% / 2.19% backtest
Sep 06, 2026 79,920 78,547 – 81,294 80,341 ✓ 3.00% / 1.70% backtest
Sep 05, 2026 79,615 78,168 – 81,061 79,830 ✓ 3.17% / 0.94% backtest
Sep 04, 2026 81,222 79,787 – 82,657 79,661 ✗ 3.08% / 3.43% backtest
Sep 03, 2026 77,936 76,625 – 79,246 81,260 ✗ 2.96% / 6.88% backtest
Sep 02, 2026 76,826 75,482 – 78,171 77,340 ✓ 3.03% / 1.97% backtest
Sep 01, 2026 78,088 76,764 – 79,412 77,435 ✓ 2.94% / 3.57% backtest
Aug 31, 2026 78,314 76,970 – 79,658 78,582 ✓ 3.02% / 2.41% backtest
Aug 30, 2026 78,175 76,833 – 79,516 77,678 ✓ 2.99% / 3.07% backtest
Aug 29, 2026 77,590 76,188 – 78,993 78,233 ✓ 3.15% / 1.22% backtest
Aug 28, 2026 79,598 78,291 – 80,905 77,845 ✗ 2.84% / 5.75% backtest
Aug 27, 2026 79,480 78,174 – 80,787 80,246 ✓ 2.89% / 2.91% backtest
Aug 26, 2026 78,489 77,154 – 79,824 79,031 ✓ 2.97% / 2.07% backtest
Aug 25, 2026 79,122 77,835 – 80,409 78,542 ✓ 2.84% / 4.34% backtest
Aug 24, 2026 78,444 77,205 – 79,684 78,992 ✓ 2.78% / 4.27% backtest
Aug 23, 2026 77,309 76,084 – 78,534 77,743 ✓ 2.77% / 3.25% backtest
Aug 22, 2026 77,131 75,914 – 78,348 77,071 ✓ 2.71% / 2.96% backtest
Aug 21, 2026 76,730 75,706 – 77,754 78,339 ✗ 2.45% / 8.89% backtest
Aug 20, 2026 71,924 71,018 – 72,829 73,032 ✗ 2.28% / 6.47% backtest
Aug 19, 2026 64,514 63,798 – 65,229 69,337 ✗ 1.93% / 9.12% backtest
Aug 18, 2026 64,356 63,631 – 65,081 64,731 ✓ 1.96% / 1.59% backtest
Aug 17, 2026 63,624 62,926 – 64,321 64,532 ✗ 1.94% / 2.99% backtest
Aug 16, 2026 63,012 62,291 – 63,734 62,904 ✓ 2.00% / 1.07% backtest
Aug 15, 2026 63,015 62,250 – 63,780 63,084 ✓ 2.12% / 0.44% backtest
Aug 14, 2026 62,870 62,094 – 63,646 63,043 ✓ 2.13% / 1.73% backtest
Aug 13, 2026 63,476 62,692 – 64,260 63,479 ✓ 2.16% / 1.84% backtest
Aug 12, 2026 64,236 63,445 – 65,028 63,485 ✓ 2.17% / 1.87% backtest
Aug 11, 2026 64,388 63,591 – 65,185 63,589 ✗ 2.18% / 1.97% backtest
Aug 10, 2026 65,130 64,341 – 65,919 63,974 ✗ 2.12% / 2.42% backtest
Aug 09, 2026 64,948 64,132 – 65,764 64,899 ✓ 2.19% / 1.18% backtest
Aug 08, 2026 64,965 64,102 – 65,827 64,957 ✓ 2.32% / 0.57% backtest
Aug 07, 2026 65,023 64,148 – 65,898 64,916 ✓ 2.37% / 1.91% backtest
Aug 06, 2026 64,625 63,719 – 65,530 64,326 ✓ 2.45% / 1.28% backtest
Aug 05, 2026 64,078 63,153 – 65,003 64,659 ✓ 2.52% / 1.79% backtest
Show the full backtest (641) →
Live forecasts are sealed before the outcome
Each record contains the hash of the previous one, so no past forecast can be changed unnoticed. The chain hash is posted to Telegram every morning.
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