XAUT/USDT forecast track record

Top: live forecasts, published at 12:00 UTC (8:00 AM ET) before the outcome and sealed with a hash. Below: the backtest — the same formula computed after the fact on real OKX prices since Jan 01, 2025.

Live forecasts, 90 days
—
starts with the first live issue
Backtest since Jan 01, 2025
80%
511 of 641 · computed after the fact · target 80%
Average daily range
1.69%
backtest
Daily-range forecast error
±0.84 pp
mean absolute error · backtest
forecast range (80%) close inside close outside
Issued Price at snapshotForecast vs. actualRange CloseDaily range plan / actualHash
Live forecasts — published before the outcome. The first issue goes out at 12:00 UTC (8:00 AM ET).
Backtest — computed after the fact with the same formula on real OKX prices. Never published in advance, so no hashes.
Oct 03, 2026 4,142.50 4,104.80 – 4,180.20 4,142.20 ✓ 1.59% / 0.20% backtest
Oct 02, 2026 4,181.40 4,144.74 – 4,218.06 4,143.10 ✗ 1.53% / 2.14% backtest
Oct 01, 2026 4,182.10 4,144.70 – 4,219.50 4,183.90 ✓ 1.57% / 1.13% backtest
Sep 30, 2026 4,187.20 4,149.69 – 4,224.71 4,159.80 ✓ 1.56% / 1.50% backtest
Sep 29, 2026 4,158.10 4,120.62 – 4,195.58 4,185.10 ✓ 1.58% / 1.60% backtest
Sep 28, 2026 4,154.30 4,120.32 – 4,188.28 4,132.90 ✓ 1.39% / 3.39% backtest
Sep 27, 2026 4,280.40 4,244.80 – 4,316.00 4,262.50 ✓ 1.45% / 0.52% backtest
Sep 26, 2026 4,282.00 4,244.03 – 4,319.97 4,281.70 ✓ 1.55% / 0.15% backtest
Sep 25, 2026 4,299.00 4,260.50 – 4,337.50 4,287.30 ✓ 1.58% / 1.28% backtest
Sep 24, 2026 4,267.50 4,228.50 – 4,306.50 4,261.80 ✓ 1.59% / 1.30% backtest
Sep 23, 2026 4,314.00 4,275.81 – 4,352.19 4,290.90 ✓ 1.53% / 1.98% backtest
Sep 22, 2026 4,326.70 4,289.03 – 4,364.37 4,361.50 ✓ 1.51% / 1.79% backtest
Sep 21, 2026 4,369.60 4,331.50 – 4,407.70 4,369.00 ✓ 1.52% / 1.28% backtest
Sep 20, 2026 4,370.70 4,330.29 – 4,411.11 4,373.00 ✓ 1.61% / 0.32% backtest
Sep 19, 2026 4,374.90 4,331.72 – 4,418.08 4,375.70 ✓ 1.72% / 0.17% backtest
Sep 18, 2026 4,380.40 4,336.56 – 4,424.24 4,376.10 ✓ 1.76% / 1.39% backtest
Sep 17, 2026 4,347.50 4,304.94 – 4,390.06 4,348.40 ✓ 1.74% / 2.47% backtest
Sep 16, 2026 4,341.00 4,300.50 – 4,381.50 4,276.40 ✗ 1.65% / 2.82% backtest
Sep 15, 2026 4,286.70 4,245.34 – 4,328.06 4,283.40 ✓ 1.68% / 1.19% backtest
Sep 14, 2026 4,292.80 4,252.60 – 4,333.00 4,290.40 ✓ 1.62% / 2.27% backtest
Sep 13, 2026 4,347.70 4,305.69 – 4,389.71 4,332.40 ✓ 1.69% / 0.67% backtest
Sep 12, 2026 4,348.80 4,303.77 – 4,393.83 4,350.60 ✓ 1.81% / 0.11% backtest
Sep 11, 2026 4,333.70 4,289.73 – 4,377.67 4,351.30 ✓ 1.78% / 2.38% backtest
Sep 10, 2026 4,375.40 4,333.09 – 4,417.71 4,316.70 ✗ 1.68% / 2.60% backtest
Sep 09, 2026 4,405.30 4,363.57 – 4,447.03 4,392.10 ✓ 1.67% / 2.00% backtest
Sep 08, 2026 4,402.70 4,361.78 – 4,443.62 4,350.80 ✗ 1.62% / 2.07% backtest
Sep 07, 2026 4,383.40 4,341.25 – 4,425.55 4,420.00 ✓ 1.67% / 0.98% backtest
Sep 06, 2026 4,423.60 4,379.03 – 4,468.17 4,418.10 ✓ 1.76% / 0.42% backtest
Sep 05, 2026 4,426.10 4,378.48 – 4,473.72 4,426.40 ✓ 1.88% / 0.19% backtest
Sep 04, 2026 4,461.70 4,415.33 – 4,508.07 4,426.80 ✓ 1.81% / 2.50% backtest
Sep 03, 2026 4,438.50 4,393.75 – 4,483.25 4,472.60 ✓ 1.78% / 2.68% backtest
Sep 02, 2026 4,333.40 4,289.92 – 4,376.88 4,384.90 ✗ 1.75% / 2.47% backtest
Sep 01, 2026 4,373.10 4,331.75 – 4,414.45 4,330.00 ✗ 1.62% / 2.80% backtest
Aug 31, 2026 4,447.10 4,405.70 – 4,488.50 4,443.60 ✓ 1.63% / 1.60% backtest
Aug 30, 2026 4,456.80 4,413.83 – 4,499.77 4,444.80 ✓ 1.68% / 0.82% backtest
Aug 29, 2026 4,454.60 4,408.68 – 4,500.52 4,458.20 ✓ 1.80% / 0.18% backtest
Aug 28, 2026 4,581.50 4,539.59 – 4,623.41 4,458.40 ✗ 1.60% / 3.74% backtest
Aug 27, 2026 4,588.30 4,546.35 – 4,630.25 4,584.70 ✓ 1.59% / 1.56% backtest
Aug 26, 2026 4,611.30 4,569.53 – 4,653.07 4,610.40 ✓ 1.57% / 1.67% backtest
Aug 25, 2026 4,623.50 4,582.54 – 4,664.46 4,639.10 ✓ 1.53% / 1.96% backtest
Aug 24, 2026 4,640.80 4,600.59 – 4,681.01 4,663.00 ✓ 1.52% / 1.92% backtest
Aug 23, 2026 4,589.20 4,547.08 – 4,631.32 4,605.20 ✓ 1.61% / 0.59% backtest
Aug 22, 2026 4,579.90 4,535.64 – 4,624.16 4,581.40 ✓ 1.68% / 0.54% backtest
Aug 21, 2026 4,575.10 4,532.63 – 4,617.57 4,587.10 ✓ 1.65% / 2.62% backtest
Aug 20, 2026 4,450.20 4,408.16 – 4,492.24 4,505.20 ✗ 1.64% / 1.87% backtest
Aug 19, 2026 4,354.90 4,317.96 – 4,391.84 4,488.50 ✗ 1.49% / 4.37% backtest
Aug 18, 2026 4,381.90 4,346.29 – 4,417.51 4,326.40 ✗ 1.41% / 2.15% backtest
Aug 17, 2026 4,378.80 4,343.00 – 4,414.60 4,404.80 ✓ 1.44% / 1.33% backtest
Aug 16, 2026 4,360.90 4,323.00 – 4,398.80 4,352.50 ✓ 1.52% / 0.34% backtest
Aug 15, 2026 4,359.60 4,319.16 – 4,400.04 4,361.90 ✓ 1.62% / 0.20% backtest
Aug 14, 2026 4,354.30 4,314.09 – 4,394.51 4,364.90 ✓ 1.62% / 1.75% backtest
Aug 13, 2026 4,370.70 4,331.72 – 4,409.68 4,339.90 ✓ 1.55% / 2.23% backtest
Aug 12, 2026 4,395.60 4,356.79 – 4,434.41 4,393.00 ✓ 1.56% / 1.66% backtest
Aug 11, 2026 4,370.30 4,331.57 – 4,409.03 4,353.50 ✓ 1.54% / 1.59% backtest
Aug 10, 2026 4,315.40 4,277.36 – 4,353.44 4,379.60 ✗ 1.54% / 1.93% backtest
Aug 09, 2026 4,334.80 4,295.22 – 4,374.38 4,317.20 ✓ 1.59% / 0.73% backtest
Aug 08, 2026 4,328.00 4,285.93 – 4,370.07 4,332.70 ✓ 1.70% / 0.29% backtest
Aug 07, 2026 4,303.40 4,263.89 – 4,342.91 4,332.30 ✓ 1.63% / 3.10% backtest
Aug 06, 2026 4,245.70 4,206.49 – 4,284.91 4,237.30 ✓ 1.61% / 1.78% backtest
Aug 05, 2026 4,174.70 4,141.41 – 4,207.99 4,259.80 ✗ 1.43% / 4.99% backtest
Show the full backtest (641) →
Live forecasts are sealed before the outcome
Each record contains the hash of the previous one, so no past forecast can be changed unnoticed. The chain hash is posted to Telegram every morning.
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