BTC/USDT forecast track record

Top: live forecasts, published at 12:00 UTC (8:00 AM ET) before the outcome and sealed with a hash. Below: the backtest — the same formula computed after the fact on real OKX prices since Jan 01, 2025.

Live forecasts, 90 days
—
starts with the first live issue
Backtest since Jan 01, 2025
79%
507 of 641 · computed after the fact · target 80%
Average daily range
3.37%
backtest
Daily-range forecast error
±1.38 pp
mean absolute error · backtest
forecast range (80%) close inside close outside
IssuedTarget close Price at snapshotForecast vs. actualRange CloseHash
Live forecasts — published before the outcome. The first issue goes out at 12:00 UTC (8:00 AM ET).
Backtest — computed after the fact with the same formula on real OKX prices. Never published in advance, so no hashes.
Sep 26, 2026 Oct 03, 2026 84,172 78,535 – 89,808 84,755 ✓ backtest
Sep 25, 2026 Oct 02, 2026 84,581 78,875 – 90,286 84,519 ✓ backtest
Sep 24, 2026 Oct 01, 2026 83,490 77,708 – 89,273 84,877 ✓ backtest
Sep 23, 2026 Sep 30, 2026 85,659 80,093 – 91,225 83,618 ✓ backtest
Sep 22, 2026 Sep 29, 2026 85,993 80,282 – 91,704 83,658 ✓ backtest
Sep 21, 2026 Sep 28, 2026 84,885 79,878 – 89,891 83,500 ✓ backtest
Sep 20, 2026 Sep 27, 2026 80,484 75,331 – 85,636 84,479 ✓ backtest
Sep 19, 2026 Sep 26, 2026 81,308 75,953 – 86,664 84,440 ✓ backtest
Sep 18, 2026 Sep 25, 2026 78,063 73,188 – 82,937 84,099 ✗ backtest
Sep 17, 2026 Sep 24, 2026 76,483 71,436 – 81,531 84,410 ✗ backtest
Sep 16, 2026 Sep 23, 2026 76,250 71,077 – 81,422 84,400 ✗ backtest
Sep 15, 2026 Sep 22, 2026 76,924 71,931 – 81,916 86,209 ✗ backtest
Sep 14, 2026 Sep 21, 2026 77,788 72,972 – 82,604 86,618 ✗ backtest
Sep 13, 2026 Sep 20, 2026 76,790 71,770 – 81,809 81,180 ✓ backtest
Sep 12, 2026 Sep 19, 2026 77,354 72,026 – 82,683 81,266 ✓ backtest
Sep 11, 2026 Sep 18, 2026 77,035 71,977 – 82,092 80,903 ✓ backtest
Sep 10, 2026 Sep 17, 2026 77,840 72,758 – 82,921 76,419 ✓ backtest
Sep 09, 2026 Sep 16, 2026 79,322 74,200 – 84,444 76,201 ✓ backtest
Sep 08, 2026 Sep 15, 2026 78,428 73,237 – 83,618 75,641 ✓ backtest
Sep 07, 2026 Sep 14, 2026 79,416 74,134 – 84,698 78,196 ✓ backtest
Sep 06, 2026 Sep 13, 2026 79,920 74,469 – 85,372 76,836 ✓ backtest
Sep 05, 2026 Sep 12, 2026 79,615 73,875 – 85,354 77,281 ✓ backtest
Sep 04, 2026 Sep 11, 2026 81,222 75,528 – 86,917 77,223 ✓ backtest
Sep 03, 2026 Sep 10, 2026 77,936 72,733 – 83,138 76,570 ✓ backtest
Sep 02, 2026 Sep 09, 2026 76,826 71,491 – 82,161 78,301 ✓ backtest
Sep 01, 2026 Sep 08, 2026 78,088 72,832 – 83,343 78,459 ✓ backtest
Aug 31, 2026 Sep 07, 2026 78,314 72,981 – 83,647 79,112 ✓ backtest
Aug 30, 2026 Sep 06, 2026 78,175 72,851 – 83,498 80,341 ✓ backtest
Aug 29, 2026 Sep 05, 2026 77,590 72,024 – 83,156 79,830 ✓ backtest
Aug 28, 2026 Sep 04, 2026 79,598 74,410 – 84,786 79,661 ✓ backtest
Aug 27, 2026 Sep 03, 2026 79,480 74,295 – 84,665 81,260 ✓ backtest
Aug 26, 2026 Sep 02, 2026 78,489 73,190 – 83,788 77,340 ✓ backtest
Aug 25, 2026 Sep 01, 2026 79,122 74,014 – 84,230 77,435 ✓ backtest
Aug 24, 2026 Aug 31, 2026 78,444 73,524 – 83,365 78,582 ✓ backtest
Aug 23, 2026 Aug 30, 2026 77,309 72,448 – 82,170 77,678 ✓ backtest
Aug 22, 2026 Aug 29, 2026 77,131 72,301 – 81,960 78,233 ✓ backtest
Aug 21, 2026 Aug 28, 2026 76,730 72,665 – 80,795 77,845 ✓ backtest
Aug 20, 2026 Aug 27, 2026 71,924 68,331 – 75,517 80,246 ✗ backtest
Aug 19, 2026 Aug 26, 2026 64,514 61,676 – 67,351 79,031 ✗ backtest
Aug 18, 2026 Aug 25, 2026 64,356 61,480 – 67,233 78,542 ✗ backtest
Aug 17, 2026 Aug 24, 2026 63,624 60,855 – 66,393 78,992 ✗ backtest
Aug 16, 2026 Aug 23, 2026 63,012 60,148 – 65,877 77,743 ✗ backtest
Aug 15, 2026 Aug 22, 2026 63,015 59,979 – 66,051 77,071 ✗ backtest
Aug 14, 2026 Aug 21, 2026 62,870 59,792 – 65,948 78,339 ✗ backtest
Aug 13, 2026 Aug 20, 2026 63,476 60,365 – 66,587 73,032 ✗ backtest
Aug 12, 2026 Aug 19, 2026 64,236 61,094 – 67,379 69,337 ✗ backtest
Aug 11, 2026 Aug 18, 2026 64,388 61,225 – 67,552 64,731 ✓ backtest
Aug 10, 2026 Aug 17, 2026 65,130 61,998 – 68,262 64,532 ✓ backtest
Aug 09, 2026 Aug 16, 2026 64,948 61,709 – 68,187 62,904 ✓ backtest
Aug 08, 2026 Aug 15, 2026 64,965 61,541 – 68,388 63,084 ✓ backtest
Aug 07, 2026 Aug 14, 2026 65,023 61,551 – 68,495 63,043 ✓ backtest
Aug 06, 2026 Aug 13, 2026 64,625 61,030 – 68,219 63,479 ✓ backtest
Aug 05, 2026 Aug 12, 2026 64,078 60,407 – 67,748 63,485 ✓ backtest
Aug 04, 2026 Aug 11, 2026 63,924 60,183 – 67,665 63,589 ✓ backtest
Aug 03, 2026 Aug 10, 2026 62,556 58,840 – 66,272 63,974 ✓ backtest
Aug 02, 2026 Aug 09, 2026 63,032 59,204 – 66,861 64,899 ✓ backtest
Aug 01, 2026 Aug 08, 2026 63,080 59,112 – 67,049 64,957 ✓ backtest
Jul 31, 2026 Aug 07, 2026 63,809 60,053 – 67,564 64,916 ✓ backtest
Jul 30, 2026 Aug 06, 2026 64,795 61,026 – 68,564 64,326 ✓ backtest
Jul 29, 2026 Aug 05, 2026 64,512 60,714 – 68,311 64,659 ✓ backtest
Show the full backtest (all days) →
Live forecasts are sealed before the outcome
Each record contains the hash of the previous one, so no past forecast can be changed unnoticed. The chain hash is posted to Telegram every morning.
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